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The Kelly Theater produces plays and musicals for a regional audience. For a typ

ID: 1124853 • Letter: T

Question

The Kelly Theater produces plays and musicals for a regional audience. For a typical performance, the theater sells at least 250 tickets and occasionally reaches its capacity of 600 seats. Most often, about 450 tickets are sold. The fixed cost for each performance is normal with a mean of $2,500 and a standard deviation of $250. Tickets cost $50. The theater runs 160 performances per year and incurs an annual fixed cost of $2 million. Develop a simulation model to evaluate the profitability of the theater. What is the distribution of net profit and the risk of losing money over a year?

Explanation / Answer

Price of a theatre ticket= $50

Min tickets sold= 250

Max tickets sold=600

Most often tickets sold=450

Cost ptice of total tickets under the above mentioned three scenarios:

Min=$50*250=$12,500 Annual equivalent given 160 performances a year, =$12,500*160=$2,000,000

Max=$50 *600=$30,000 Annual equivalent= $30,000*160= $4,800,000

Most often= $50 *450= $22,500 Annual equivalent= $22,500*160= $3,600,000

Annual fixed cost= $2,000,000

So the profit( Revenue-Cost) will range from 0( Min) to 2,800,000 (Max) with the most often value taking $1,600,000 as the profit figure.

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