An analyst assesses two alternatives: (1) a ring levee with a 20-year life and (
ID: 1179913 • Letter: A
Question
An analyst assesses two alternatives: (1) a ring levee with a 20-year life and (2) floodwalls with a 60-year life, both designed to prevent river flood damage to neighboring residential properties. Suppose the NPV for the 20-year ring levee is $3 million and the NPV for the 60-year floodwall is $5 million, both discounted at 5%. Calculate the EANB for each project. Then, use the replication method to determine which project should be adopted.
Note: EANB is (net present value) / (annuity factor).
Explanation / Answer
First determine the annuity factors:
AF20 = (1/.05)-1/(.05(1.05^20)) = 12.46
And
AF60 = (1/.05)-1/(.05(1.05^60)) = 18.93
Thus:
EANBrl = $3 million / 12.46 = $240,770.5
And
EANBfw = $5 million / 18.93 = $264,140.9
For part b, note that the shorter project might be preferred if there is a chance new technology would be
developed that could be implemented if society is not locked into the longer project.
For part c, the AF is given by the present value of a $3 perpetuity minus the present value of a $3
perpetuity, discounted T years in the future. The intuition is that getting a $3 annuity for T years is
equally valuable to getting a $3 perpetuity today, and having it taken away T years in the future.
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