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. A proposal to manufacture 5000 t/yr. of a halogenated organic intermediate is

ID: 1188881 • Letter: #

Question

. A proposal to manufacture 5000 t/yr. of a halogenated organic intermediate is set out below:

            Estimated total capital cost                            $1,200,000

            Construction time                                           2 years

            Working capital                                               20% of FCI

            Operating cost (exc. depreciation)                 $40 per ton

            Revenue from sales                                         $200 per ton

            Plant life                                                          10 years

            Salvage value                                                   $100,000

            Land value                                                       $100,000

            Income tax rate                                                50%

Operating cost at reduce capacity is expressed as follows:

                                                -0.5

OC = $40* (Capacity/5000)

Time         Market forecast (t/yr)

1982                    1500

1983                    1600

1984                    1700

1985                    1900

1986                    2500

1987                    3400

1988                    4700

1989                    5100

1990                    5300

1991                    4700

1992                    4000

1993                    2000

1994 on               0.

            Assuming that the intermediate is storable for a maximum of one year, would you recommend proceeding with the proposal? Justify your answer. Analyze the cash flow position. Take present time to be end of 1981.

Explanation / Answer

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

Estiamted Cost

   1,200,000.00

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

               -  

Sales(estimated)

                         -  

          1,500.00

          1,600.00

          1,700.00

          1,900.00

          2,500.00

          3,400.00

          4,700.00

          5,100.00

          5,300.00

          4,700.00

          4,000.00

          2,000.00

               -  

Revenue for Tonne

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$            -  

(-)Operating Cost

$            40.00

$            70.71

$            68.60

$            64.89

$            56.57

$            48.51

$            41.26

$            39.61

$            38.85

$            41.26

$            44.72

$            63.25

Net revenue per tonne

$          160.00

$          129.29

$          131.40

$          135.11

$          143.43

$          151.49

$          158.74

$          160.39

$          161.15

$          158.74

$          155.28

$          136.75

Total Revenue

$ 240,000.00

$ 206,862.92

$ 223,380.96

$ 256,711.72

$ 358,578.64

$ 515,075.77

$ 746,092.81

$ 818,009.90

$ 854,087.40

$ 746,092.81

$ 621,114.56

$ 273,508.89

(-)Depreciation

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$                   -  

Net revenue

$ 240,000.00

$ 106,862.92

$ 123,380.96

$ 156,711.72

$ 258,578.64

$ 415,075.77

$ 646,092.81

$ 718,009.90

$ 754,087.40

$ 646,092.81

$ 521,114.56

$ 273,508.89

(-)Tax @ 50%

$ 120,000.00

$    53,431.46

$    61,690.48

$    78,355.86

$ 129,289.32

$ 207,537.89

$ 323,046.40

$ 359,004.95

$ 377,043.70

$ 323,046.40

$ 260,557.28

$ 136,754.45

Profit after tax

$ 240,000.00

$ 106,862.92

$ 123,380.96

$ 156,711.72

$ 258,578.64

$ 415,075.77

$ 646,092.81

$ 718,009.90

$ 754,087.40

$ 646,092.81

$ 521,114.56

$ 273,508.89

(+) Depreciation

$                  -  

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$                   -  

Cash Flow

$ 240,000.00

$ 206,862.92

$ 223,380.96

$ 256,711.72

$ 358,578.64

$ 515,075.77

$ 746,092.81

$ 818,009.90

$ 854,087.40

$ 746,092.81

$ 621,114.56

$ 273,508.89

Cash flow is in positive so the proposal is viable.

Land value to be excluded from cost to calculate the depreciation as land is a non depreciable asset.

at the end of 10th year, the salvage value is 100,000, deducted the same to arrive the depreciation.

Depreciation = (12,00,000-100,000-100,000)/10 = 1,00,000

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

Estiamted Cost

   1,200,000.00

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

                       -  

               -  

Sales(estimated)

                         -  

          1,500.00

          1,600.00

          1,700.00

          1,900.00

          2,500.00

          3,400.00

          4,700.00

          5,100.00

          5,300.00

          4,700.00

          4,000.00

          2,000.00

               -  

Revenue for Tonne

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$          200.00

$            -  

(-)Operating Cost

$            40.00

$            70.71

$            68.60

$            64.89

$            56.57

$            48.51

$            41.26

$            39.61

$            38.85

$            41.26

$            44.72

$            63.25

Net revenue per tonne

$          160.00

$          129.29

$          131.40

$          135.11

$          143.43

$          151.49

$          158.74

$          160.39

$          161.15

$          158.74

$          155.28

$          136.75

Total Revenue

$ 240,000.00

$ 206,862.92

$ 223,380.96

$ 256,711.72

$ 358,578.64

$ 515,075.77

$ 746,092.81

$ 818,009.90

$ 854,087.40

$ 746,092.81

$ 621,114.56

$ 273,508.89

(-)Depreciation

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$                   -  

Net revenue

$ 240,000.00

$ 106,862.92

$ 123,380.96

$ 156,711.72

$ 258,578.64

$ 415,075.77

$ 646,092.81

$ 718,009.90

$ 754,087.40

$ 646,092.81

$ 521,114.56

$ 273,508.89

(-)Tax @ 50%

$ 120,000.00

$    53,431.46

$    61,690.48

$    78,355.86

$ 129,289.32

$ 207,537.89

$ 323,046.40

$ 359,004.95

$ 377,043.70

$ 323,046.40

$ 260,557.28

$ 136,754.45

Profit after tax

$ 240,000.00

$ 106,862.92

$ 123,380.96

$ 156,711.72

$ 258,578.64

$ 415,075.77

$ 646,092.81

$ 718,009.90

$ 754,087.40

$ 646,092.81

$ 521,114.56

$ 273,508.89

(+) Depreciation

$                  -  

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$ 100,000.00

$                   -  

Cash Flow

$ 240,000.00

$ 206,862.92

$ 223,380.96

$ 256,711.72

$ 358,578.64

$ 515,075.77

$ 746,092.81

$ 818,009.90

$ 854,087.40

$ 746,092.81

$ 621,114.56

$ 273,508.89