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7. Insurance Pricing (15 pts.) Use the information in the table below to answer

ID: 2600952 • Letter: 7

Question

7. Insurance Pricing (15 pts.) Use the information in the table below to answer the following questions and fill in all missing values in the table Show all of vour work. Crop insurance analysts have determined the likelihood of the following possible yield, price, and revenue outcomes for soybean production in Ilinois: Soybean Yield SoybeanSoybeanYield ue Insuran Value Revenue Weather ProbabilityConditions Price Revenue ce Insurance os(bushels/acre) (S/bushel (S/acre) $500.00 $540.00 $575.00 $605.00 $660.00 $630.00 $600.00 Value Drought (very dry) Dry Flooding (very wet) Wet 0.05 36 $11.50 $10.50 $11.00 $10.00 47 0.05 46 53 0.5 0.15 0.05 63 70 78 $9.50 $8.50 $8.00 Normal Above Average Excellent i. Using the information above, calculate the fair premium (S/acre) for a soybean yield insurance policy that guarantees 5 Show your work. 5 bushels per acre, with insurance losses valued at $9.50 per bushel.

Explanation / Answer

Probability

Weather

Soya yield per bushel

Soya price

$

Soya rev

$

YIELD INSURANCE

Value

$

REV INSURANCE

$

.5

NORMAL

63

$9.50

$660

55 x 9.50

= 522.50

660

.05

Excellent

78

$8.00

600

63 x 9.50= 600

600

.1

WET

IRRIGATION

53

$10.00

$605.00

605

605

THE PREMIUM SHOULD BE LESS WHEN THE FARMER TAKES PRECAUTIONS TO SEE THAT DURING DRY WEATHER HE STILL PROTECTS HIMSELF WITH PROVIDING WATER AND NOT NECESSARILY DEPEMDING ON INSURANCE.

Probability

Weather

Soya yield per bushel

Soya price

$

Soya rev

$

YIELD INSURANCE

Value

$

REV INSURANCE

$

.5

NORMAL

63

$9.50

$660

55 x 9.50

= 522.50

660

.05

Excellent

78

$8.00

600

63 x 9.50= 600

600

.1

WET

IRRIGATION

53

$10.00

$605.00

605

605

THE PREMIUM SHOULD BE LESS WHEN THE FARMER TAKES PRECAUTIONS TO SEE THAT DURING DRY WEATHER HE STILL PROTECTS HIMSELF WITH PROVIDING WATER AND NOT NECESSARILY DEPEMDING ON INSURANCE.

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