Exercise After months of digging, interviewing dozens of government officials, a
ID: 2617332 • Letter: E
Question
Exercise
After months of digging, interviewing dozens of government officials, and reviewing countless publicly available filings, your research team believes that the US Department of Transportation will be making an announcement on April 14ththat it officially recognizes driverless cars 8x safer than standard cars. Your boss asks you to put together at least three unique alternatives for how your firm should trade call and/or put options based on this information. The current stock price and your firm’s projection of the future stock price (if the researchers are right) are below. The call and put tables (tables that show you the price of a call or a put based on the expiration and the strike price) are below for your reference as you develop your strategies. Be prepared to justify the trades that you propose to execute and discuss the pros and cons of the trades. I need help! Please explain!
Current Price:$557.00
Expected Price (if researchers are right):$570.00+
Call Table:
CALL TABLE
Expiration Date
Strike Price
4/6/15
4/13/15
4/20/15
$550
$11.50
$9.00
$15.00
$555
$6.70
$7.68
$12.40
$560
$3.70
$6.13
$7.00
$565
$1.80
$4.00
$6.20
Put Table:
PUT TABLE
Expiration Date
Strike Price
4/6/15
4/13/15
4/20/15
$550
$11.50
$11.00
$5.50
$555
$6.70
$7.68
$5.80
$560
$3.70
$6.13
$17.30
$565
$1.80
$4.00
$14.00
CALL TABLE
Expiration Date
Strike Price
4/6/15
4/13/15
4/20/15
$550
$11.50
$9.00
$15.00
$555
$6.70
$7.68
$12.40
$560
$3.70
$6.13
$7.00
$565
$1.80
$4.00
$6.20
Explanation / Answer
FOLLOWING ARE THE 3 OPTION STRATEGIES THAT COMPANY CAN FOLLOW long straddle option call put long/short long long 4/20/15 strike 550 550 premium 15 5.5 spot 557 CMP LONG CALL LONG PUT NET FLOW 549 -15 -4.5 -19.5 550 -15 -5.5 -20.5 551 -14 -5.5 -19.5 552 -13 -5.5 -18.5 553 -12 -5.5 -17.5 554 -11 -5.5 -16.5 555 -10 -5.5 -15.5 556 -9 -5.5 -14.5 557 -8 -5.5 -13.5 558 -7 -5.5 -12.5 559 -6 -5.5 -11.5 560 -5 -5.5 -10.5 561 -4 -5.5 -9.5 562 -3 -5.5 -8.5 563 -2 -5.5 -7.5 564 -1 -5.5 -6.5 565 0 -5.5 -5.5 566 1 -5.5 -4.5 567 2 -5.5 -3.5 568 3 -5.5 -2.5 569 4 -5.5 -1.5 570 5 -5.5 -0.5 571 6 -5.5 0.5 572 7 -5.5 1.5 573 8 -5.5 2.5 574 9 -5.5 3.5 575 10 -5.5 4.5 576 11 -5.5 5.5 577 12 -5.5 6.5 578 13 -5.5 7.5 579 14 -5.5 8.5 580 15 -5.5 9.5 581 16 -5.5 10.5 582 17 -5.5 11.5 583 18 -5.5 12.5 584 19 -5.5 13.5 585 20 -5.5 14.5 PROS AS PRICE RISES PROFIT WILL RISE ; loss is limited to sum of premium paid CONS IF however PRICE does not move as desired company will incur loss LONG STRANGLE option call put long/short long long 4/20/15 strike 560 550 premium 7 5.5 spot 557 CMP LONG CALL LONG PUT NET FLOW 549 -7 -4.5 -11.5 550 -7 -5.5 -12.5 551 -7 -5.5 -12.5 552 -7 -5.5 -12.5 553 -7 -5.5 -12.5 554 -7 -5.5 -12.5 555 -7 -5.5 -12.5 556 -7 -5.5 -12.5 557 -7 -5.5 -12.5 558 -7 -5.5 -12.5 559 -7 -5.5 -12.5 560 -7 -5.5 -12.5 561 -6 -5.5 -11.5 562 -5 -5.5 -10.5 563 -4 -5.5 -9.5 564 -3 -5.5 -8.5 565 -2 -5.5 -7.5 566 -1 -5.5 -6.5 567 0 -5.5 -5.5 568 1 -5.5 -4.5 569 2 -5.5 -3.5 570 3 -5.5 -2.5 571 4 -5.5 -1.5 572 5 -5.5 -0.5 573 6 -5.5 0.5 574 7 -5.5 1.5 575 8 -5.5 2.5 576 9 -5.5 3.5 577 10 -5.5 4.5 578 11 -5.5 5.5 579 12 -5.5 6.5 580 13 -5.5 7.5 581 14 -5.5 8.5 582 15 -5.5 9.5 583 16 -5.5 10.5 584 17 -5.5 11.5 585 18 -5.5 12.5 PROS AS PRICE RISES PROFIT WILL RISE ; loss is limited to premium paid CONS IF however PRICE does not move as desired company will incur loss , comparatively high breakeven point than long straddle BULLISH VERTICAL SPREAD USING CALLS option call Call long/short long short 4/20/15 strike 550 565 premium 15 6.2 spot 557 CMP LONG CALL short call NET FLOW 549 -15 6.2 -8.8 550 -15 6.2 -8.8 551 -14 6.2 -7.8 552 -13 6.2 -6.8 553 -12 6.2 -5.8 554 -11 6.2 -4.8 555 -10 6.2 -3.8 556 -9 6.2 -2.8 557 -8 6.2 -1.8 558 -7 6.2 -0.8 559 -6 6.2 0.2 560 -5 6.2 1.2 561 -4 6.2 2.2 562 -3 6.2 3.2 563 -2 6.2 4.2 564 -1 6.2 5.2 565 0 6.2 6.2 566 1 5.2 6.2 567 2 4.2 6.2 568 3 3.2 6.2 569 4 2.2 6.2 570 5 1.2 6.2 571 6 0.2 6.2 572 7 -0.8 6.2 573 8 -1.8 6.2 574 9 -2.8 6.2 575 10 -3.8 6.2 576 11 -4.8 6.2 577 12 -5.8 6.2 578 13 -6.8 6.2 579 14 -7.8 6.2 580 15 -8.8 6.2 581 16 -9.8 6.2 582 17 -10.8 6.2 583 18 -11.8 6.2 584 19 -12.8 6.2 585 20 -13.8 6.2 PROS company starts to earn profit from a much lower point LOSS amount is much lower if price remains where it is . i.e forecast goes wrong. CONS IF however PRICE does not move as desired company will incur loss AS PRICE RISES PROFIT WILL NOT RISE i.e there is a capping on profit
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