Project Analysis You are discussing a project analysis with a co-worker. The pro
ID: 2621000 • Letter: P
Question
Project Analysis You are discussing a project analysis with a co-worker. The project involves real options, such as expanding the project if successful, or abandoning the project if it fails. Your coworker makes the following statement: “This analysis is ridiculous. We looked at expanding or abandoning the project in two years, but there are many other options we should consider. For example, we could expand in one year, and expand further in two years. Or we could expand in one year, and abandon the project in two years. There are too many options for us to examine. Because of this, anything this analysis would give us is worthless.” How would you evaluate this statement? Considering that with any capital budgeting project there are an infinite number of real options, when do you stop the option analysis on an individual project?
Explanation / Answer
One should stop the option analysis when he/she finds that new project generate negative NPV. When benefits of adding new project outweighs the cost, the benefits on additional analysis will reduce the making of bad decisions.
Additional benefits are difficult to measure since this decisions are based on experience.
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