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Suppose that the consensus forecast of security analysts of your favorite compan

ID: 2622048 • Letter: S

Question

Suppose that the consensus forecast of security analysts of your favorite company is that earnings next year will be E1 = $5:00 per share. Suppose that the company tends to plow back 50% of its earnings and pay the rest as dividends. If the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) estimates that the company's growth rate will be 8% from now onwards, answer the following questions.

Suppose your own 10% estimate of the stock's required rate of return is shared by the rest of the market. What does the market price of $50.00 per share imply about the market's estimate of the company's growth rate?

Explanation / Answer

According to DIvidend discount model


Price of share = D1/(r-g)


where r is required rate of return i.e 10%


g is growth rate


D1 is nxt year dividend


so, according to market sentiments and based on dividend discount model



50 = 2.5/(.1-g)

g = .1-(2.5/50) = 0.05 = 5%


growth rate estimated by market = 5%

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