Atrial Pacemakers Incorporated (API) plans to retain 80 percent of earnings to r
ID: 2630408 • Letter: A
Question
Atrial Pacemakers Incorporated (API) plans to retain 80 percent of earnings to reinvest at a
ROE of 30 percent at the end of each of the next two years. At this time, the development of
new products by API's competitors is expected to reduce the return on equity for new
investment ROE for API to 25 percent. Given that API's opportunity cost of capital is 20
percent, the firm is expected to respond by reducing the retention rate to 60 percent of
earnings. Assuming the consensus of Wall Street security analysts that API will report
earnings of $3.00 per share next year (in exactly one year), determine the appropriate price
for API's stock.
Explanation / Answer
As per DDM, stock price is the sum of all future cash flows.
growth rate = retention rate*ROE
1st 2 years, growth rate (G1) = 0.80*30% = 24%
after 2 years, growth rate (G2)= 0.60*25% = 15%
So this problem is essentially a 2 stage DDM model problem.
D1 = EPS * (1- retention rate) = 3*0.20 = 0.60
D2 = D1 * growth rate = 0.60*1.24 = 0.744
D3 = D2*growth rate = 0.744 * 1.15 = 0.8556
r = cost of capital = 20%
Value of stock = D1/(1+r) + D2/(1+r)^2 + D3/(r-G2)
=0.60/1.20 + 0.744/(1.20^2) + 0.8556/(0.20-0.15)
= 0.5 + 0.5167 + 17.112 = $18.13
Thus the appropriate value of the stock is $18.13
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