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Case Study The Investment Detective The essence of capital budgeting and resourc

ID: 2637323 • Letter: C

Question

Case Study

The Investment Detective

The essence of capital budgeting and resource allocation is a search for good investments in which to invest the firms capital. The process can be simple when viewed in purely mechanical terms, but a number of subtle issues can obscure the best investment choices. The capital budgeting analyst is necessarily, therefore, a detective who must winnow good evidence from bad. Much of the challenges is knowing what quantitative analysis to generate in the first place.

Supposed you are a new capital budgeting analyst for a company considering investments in the eight projects listed in Exhibit 1. The chief financial officer of your company has asked you to rank the projects and recommend the "four best" that the company should accept

Part I

For the first part of this assignment only quantitative considerations are relevant. No other project characteristics are deciding factors in the selection, except that management has determined that projects 7 and 8 are mutually exclusive.

All projects require the same initial investment, $2,000,000. Moreover, all are believed to be of the same risk class. The weighted average cost of capital for the first part is 10%. To simulate your analysis, consider the following questions:

Can you rank the projects simply by inspecting the cash flows?

What criteria might you use to rank the projects? Which quantitative ranking methods are better? Why?

What is the ranking you found by using quantitative methods? Does this ranking differ from the ranking obtained by simple inspection of the cash flows?

What kinds of real investment projects have cash flows similar to those in the exhibit?

Part II

The company has the following capital structure:

Account

$

Costs before tax

Long-Term Debt

1,500,000

10%

Preferred Stock

500,000

12%

Common Stock

3,000,000

20%

Calculate the weighted average cost of capital (tax is 40%)

Using the same cash flows in exhibit I find the NPV, PI,IRR and MIRR (Use your answer on part one as cost of capital). Which project(s) would you recommend and why?

Part III

Based on the following information and data in part II prepare Performa income statement. Also, calculate the DOL, DFL, and DTL and earning per share.

Q=20,000 units

Price=$120

VC=$80

Fixed cost=$450,000

100,000 outstanding shares

Assume that the management has a target DTL of 6. How much debt needs to be retired (replace by common stocks) in order to achieve that goal? What would be the new WACC?

Exhibit                                               Project cash flows in (00)

Project1

Project2

Project3

Project4

Project5

Project6

Project7

Project8

Initial Investment

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

Year

1

$330

$1,666

$160

$280

$2,200

$1,200

$(350)

2

$330

$334

$200

$280

$900

$(60)

3

$330

$165

$350

$280

$300

$60

4

$330

$395

$280

$90

$350

5

$330

$432

$280

$70

$700

6

$330

$440

$280

$4,000

$1,200

7

$330

$442

$280

$2,250

8

$1,000

$444

$280

9

$446

$280

$2,000

10

$5,000

$448

$280

11

$450

$280

12

$451

$280

13

$451

$280

14

$452

$280

15

$9,000

$(2,000)

$280

Sum of Cash Flow

Benefits

$3,310

$7,165

$9,000

$3,561

$4,200

$6,200

$4,560

$4,150

Excess of cash flow

Over investment

$1,310

$5,165

$7,000

$1,562

$2,200

$4,200

$2,560

$2,150

Yellow/italics indicate year in which payback is accomplished

Account

$

Costs before tax

Long-Term Debt

1,500,000

10%

Preferred Stock

500,000

12%

Common Stock

3,000,000

20%

Explanation / Answer

Observe the case to answer the following questions as follows:

A. It is obvious that the same amount available at present is more valuable than it received in future. The reasoning is that the money has earning capacity. Therefore, the investor requires more in future than they invest at present. Therefore, future cash flows should be compounded in to a future period or discounted at present for comparison.

B. The criteria available to rank projects are IRR, MIRR, NPV, Payback Period, and Discounted Payback Period. These evaluation techniques should be used in combination because none of these provide accurate result independently. For example, IRR provide good result if the future cash flows are in series, and if discount rate is inappropriately taken then the NPV does not provide good result.

C. The ranking that was observed that only project 2 had a negative NPV which means that the cash inflows are not sufficient to cover the costs of the project. Hence, the project 2 will not be considered while selecting the projects.

Observe that the selection of the project is based on the NPV, therefore the highest NPV will be selected.

D. The real investment projects that have similar cash flows are as follows:

Project1-leasing

Project2-advertising campaign

Project3-zerocoupon bonds

Project4-construction

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