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Price Risk An investor has a one-year time horizon (H=1) He can invest in three

ID: 2669244 • Letter: P

Question

Price Risk

An investor has a one-year time horizon (H=1)
He can invest in three different zero coupon bonds:
1) 1-year-zero-coupon bond
2) 5-year-zero-coupon bond
3) 10-year zero-coupon bond

The current level of the interest rate is equal to 5% per year. During the first year, the interest rate rises from 5 to 10% per year (stays constant afterwards)

What is the annual realized return of the three bonds?

Present Value Coefficients
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5% 0,95 0,91 0,86 0,82 0,78 0,74 0,71 0,68 0,64 0,61
10% 0,91 0,83 0,75 0,68 0,62 0,56 0,51 0,47 0,42 0,38

Explanation / Answer

Here, annual realised return = (Vt/V0)^1/t - 1

                           V0 face value of the bond, take the face value of the bond is $1,000.

Time period is 10 years.

   For the first year the interest rate is 5%, after that it is 10%.

   For the first year annual payment is = 0.05*1000

                                                                = $50

   Then after, it is 10%. Coupon payment is $100.

For finding annual realized return, here we have to calculate the Vt.

Vt is must be account for reinvestment of annual coupon $50 and $100.

These reinvestments are as follows.

year1

Year2

Year3

Year4

Year5

Year9

Reinvest

Year10

1st coupon

$50

*0.61

$ 30.5

5th year coupon

$100

*0.62

$62

10th year coupon + Principal

$100

*0.91

$91

1000

$1091

$ 1.183.5

            Therefore Vt is - $1,183.5

         Annual realized return = (1,183.5/1000)^(1/10) - 1

                                                 =(1.1895)^(1/10) - 1

                                                =1.0175- 1

                                                =0.0175 or 1.75%

Therefore Annual realized return is 1.75%

year1

Year2

Year3

Year4

Year5

Year9

Reinvest

Year10

1st coupon

$50

*0.61

$ 30.5

5th year coupon

$100

*0.62

$62

10th year coupon + Principal

$100

*0.91

$91

1000

$1091

$ 1.183.5

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