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P-1 EXPECTED RETURN A stock%u2019s returns have the following distribution: DEMA

ID: 2701530 • Letter: P

Question

P-1 EXPECTED RETURN A stock%u2019s returns have the following distribution:

DEMAND for the Probability of This Rate of Return If This

Company%u2019s Products Demand Occurring Demand Occurs

DEMAND for the            PROBABILITY of this       Rate of Return if

Companys Product            Demand Occuring          this Demand Occurs

Weak                                                        0.1                   (50%)

Below Average                                          0.2                   (5)

Average                                                    0.4                      16

Above Average                                          0.2                       25

Strong                                                      0.1                       60

                                                               1.0

Calculate the stock%u2019s expected return, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.

Explanation / Answer

Demand P(probability) Rate (X) (X)*P X- Mean (X-Mean)^2 (X-Mean)^2*P
Weak 0.10 (50.00) (5.00) (61.40) 3769.96 377.00
Below avg 0.20 (5.00) (1.00) (16.40) 268.96 53.79
Average 0.40 16.00 6.40 4.60 21.16 8.46
Above avg 0.20 25.00 5.00 13.60 184.96 36.99
Strong 0.10 60.00 6.00 48.60 2361.96 236.20
Mean = sum of(Rate of return*P)= 11.40
Variance = sum of square of mean*probabiltity=712.44
Standard deviation = Square root of variance
=19.60