Gloria the Investor Gloria is a seasoned sales manager with a very large interna
ID: 2717079 • Letter: G
Question
Gloria the Investor
Gloria is a seasoned sales manager with a very large international company. Although she has a great deal of experience with sales, she has little experience with investing. Gloria has been investing in her company’s 401K plan. However she has decided to invest some extra money on her own. Gloria has $75,000 she would like to invest.
Since she has recently signed up for internet access to a broker, she is allowed a small number of phone calls to a broker at no additional charge to her.
She calls ABC investments and talks with a Mr. Bill. She tells Mr. Bill she would like to invest in undervalued stocks and can he recommend about ten stocks for her to research. Mr. Bill tells Gloria his company has about 15 stocks they believe are undervalued and will outperform the marker over time. Mr. Bill gave her the company web site where she can down load that list of stocks.
Below is a list of those stocks:
rating
Stock Price
Total 2003
Dividends
5 year total dividend growth
Beta
1
$12.05
$0.95
0.65%
0.65
2
$28.02
$0.00
-100.00%
2.3
3
$17.75
$0.00
0.00%
1.89
4
$92.43
$1.30
6.23%
1.2
5
$63.79
$0.75
0.95%
1.35
6
71.11
$6.00
5.00%
.67
7
$10.00
$0.00
0.00%
1.78
8
$49.51
$0.68
0.75%
0.95
9
$101.00
$5.00
0.38%
0.92
10
$39.78
$0.00
-90.00%
1.5
11
$29.75
$2.00
2.25%
0.85
12
$73.09
$0.00
-1.00%
0.38
13
$20.39
$6.00
5.25%
0.71
14
$18.25
$1.00
8.00%
1
15
$7.00
$1.35
8.85%
0.73
Treasury Bond Rate
4.30%
Return on the Broad Market
11.90%
Answer the below questions
Calculate the required rate of return using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
Using the constant growth formula, calculate the value of each stock
Compare the values you calculated in questions 1 & 2. Do the values closely approximate the stocks market price? If not why not?
What do your results mean for Gloria?
How does your resultaffect the “market efficiency” theory.
rating
Stock Price
Total 2003
Dividends
5 year total dividend growth
Beta
1
$12.05
$0.95
0.65%
0.65
2
$28.02
$0.00
-100.00%
2.3
3
$17.75
$0.00
0.00%
1.89
4
$92.43
$1.30
6.23%
1.2
5
$63.79
$0.75
0.95%
1.35
6
71.11
$6.00
5.00%
.67
7
$10.00
$0.00
0.00%
1.78
8
$49.51
$0.68
0.75%
0.95
9
$101.00
$5.00
0.38%
0.92
10
$39.78
$0.00
-90.00%
1.5
11
$29.75
$2.00
2.25%
0.85
12
$73.09
$0.00
-1.00%
0.38
13
$20.39
$6.00
5.25%
0.71
14
$18.25
$1.00
8.00%
1
15
$7.00
$1.35
8.85%
0.73
Treasury Bond Rate
4.30%
Return on the Broad Market
11.90%
Explanation / Answer
Required rate of return (we said here, RCAPM) using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
RCAPM = Rf + Beta of stock (Rm - Rf ) ,
where, Rf = Risk free rate of return, here treasury bond return is taken, Rf = 4.30%
Rm = return on market, here we taken as broad market return, Rm = 11.90%
(Rm - Rf ) = this can be said be Risk premium , = 0.119-0.043 = 0.076
Considering the above, stockwise RCAPM as below.
Value of stock under constant dividend growth model,
P0 = D1 /(Ke-g) , D1 = D0 (1+g), D1 is the dividend receibale after 1 year
Comparison of market price of stock & stock value computed.
What do your results mean for Gloria?
Following shall be sequence while investing in these stock on the basis of stock value computed.
Rating of stock Rf Beta of stock Market Prenium RCAPM 1 0.043 + 0.65 x 0.076 0.0924 i.e. 9.24 % 2 0.043 + 2.3 x 0.076 0.2178 i.e. 21.78 % 3 0.043 + 1.89 x 0.076 0.18664 i.e. 18.66 % 4 0.043 + 1.2 x 0.076 0.1342 i.e. 13.42 % 5 0.043 + 1.35 x 0.076 0.1456 i.e. 14.56 % 6 0.043 + 0.67 x 0.076 0.09392 i.e. 9.392 % 7 0.043 + 1.78 x 0.076 0.17828 i.e. 17.83 % 8 0.043 + 0.95 x 0.076 0.1152 i.e. 11.52 % 9 0.043 + 0.92 x 0.076 0.11292 i.e. 11.29 % 10 0.043 + 1.5 x 0.076 0.157 i.e. 15.7 % 11 0.043 + 0.85 x 0.076 0.1076 i.e. 10.76 % 12 0.043 + 0.38 x 0.076 0.07188 i.e. 7.188 % 13 0.043 + 0.71 x 0.076 0.09696 i.e. 9.696 % 14 0.043 + 1 x 0.076 0.119 i.e. 11.9 % 15 0.043 + 0.73 x 0.076 0.09848 i.e. 9.848 %Related Questions
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