Compute the standard deviation of the expected return given these three economic
ID: 2745272 • Letter: C
Question
Compute the standard deviation of the expected return given these three economic states, their Likelihoods, and the potential returns: 6.8% 16.5% 21.5% 46.4% Crab Cakes Ltd. has 5 million shares of stock outstanding selling at $15 per share and an issue of $10 million in 10 percent, annual coupon bonds with a maturity of 25 years, selling at 97 percent of par ($1000). If Crab Cakes* weighted average tax rate is 30 percent, its next dividend is expected to be $1.00 per share, and all future dividends are expected to grow at 5 percent per year, indefinitely, what is its WACC? 8.42% 10.84% 11.16% 11.52% A company's current stock price is $84.50 and it is to pay a $3.50 dividend next year. since analysts estimate the company will have a 10% growth rate. what is its expected return? 4.14% 4.26% 10.00% 14.14% Compute the expected return given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns: 3.5% 7.0% 7.5% 12.5%Explanation / Answer
Solution 9:
Here we first need to compute expected return of the stock:
Economic State
P
R
P x R
Fast Growth
0.1
50%
0.05
Slow Growth
0.6
8%
0.048
Recession
0.3
-10%
-0.03
0.068
Expected return = sum of P x R
= 0.068
Economic State
P
R
R-ER
P x (R-ER)^2
Fast Growth
0.1
50%
43.200%
0.0186624
Slow Growth
0.6
8%
1.200%
8.64E-05
Recession
0.3
-10%
-16.800%
0.0084672
0.027216
Standard Deviation= (sum of P x (R-ER)^2)^0.50
= (0.027216)^0.50
=16.50%
Therefore, Standard deviation would be 16.5%.
Economic State
P
R
P x R
Fast Growth
0.1
50%
0.05
Slow Growth
0.6
8%
0.048
Recession
0.3
-10%
-0.03
0.068
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