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Compute the standard deviation of the expected return given these three economic

ID: 2745272 • Letter: C

Question

Compute the standard deviation of the expected return given these three economic states, their Likelihoods, and the potential returns: 6.8% 16.5% 21.5% 46.4% Crab Cakes Ltd. has 5 million shares of stock outstanding selling at $15 per share and an issue of $10 million in 10 percent, annual coupon bonds with a maturity of 25 years, selling at 97 percent of par ($1000). If Crab Cakes* weighted average tax rate is 30 percent, its next dividend is expected to be $1.00 per share, and all future dividends are expected to grow at 5 percent per year, indefinitely, what is its WACC? 8.42% 10.84% 11.16% 11.52% A company's current stock price is $84.50 and it is to pay a $3.50 dividend next year. since analysts estimate the company will have a 10% growth rate. what is its expected return? 4.14% 4.26% 10.00% 14.14% Compute the expected return given these three economic states, their likelihoods, and the potential returns: 3.5% 7.0% 7.5% 12.5%

Explanation / Answer

Solution 9:

Here we first need to compute expected return of the stock:

Economic State

P

R

P x R

Fast Growth

0.1

50%

0.05

Slow Growth

0.6

8%

0.048

Recession

0.3

-10%

-0.03

0.068

Expected return = sum of P x R

                                = 0.068

Economic State

P

R

R-ER

P x (R-ER)^2

Fast Growth

0.1

50%

43.200%

0.0186624

Slow Growth

0.6

8%

1.200%

8.64E-05

Recession

0.3

-10%

-16.800%

0.0084672

0.027216

Standard Deviation= (sum of P x (R-ER)^2)^0.50

                                      = (0.027216)^0.50

                                     =16.50%

Therefore, Standard deviation would be 16.5%.

Economic State

P

R

P x R

Fast Growth

0.1

50%

0.05

Slow Growth

0.6

8%

0.048

Recession

0.3

-10%

-0.03

0.068

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