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Question 5. (10 points) Using the information given below, compute the standard

ID: 2745366 • Letter: Q

Question

Question 5. (10 points) Using the information given below, compute the standard deviation of the future spot rate of Mexican peso. You must show the computation process by adding the columns in the table, Probability Distribution of Future Spot Rates of Mexican Peso

RANGES OF POSSIBLE SPOT RATES AT THE END OF A QUARTER

Midpoint

Probability

$0.080 to $0.0849

$0.0825

10%

$0.085 to $0.0899

$0.0875

15%

$0.090 to $0.0949

$0.0925

25%

$0.095 to $0.0999

$0.0975

25%

$0.100 to $0.1049

$0.1025

15%

$0.1050 to $0.110

$0.1075

10%

RANGES OF POSSIBLE SPOT RATES AT THE END OF A QUARTER

Midpoint

Probability

$0.080 to $0.0849

$0.0825

10%

$0.085 to $0.0899

$0.0875

15%

$0.090 to $0.0949

$0.0925

25%

$0.095 to $0.0999

$0.0975

25%

$0.100 to $0.1049

$0.1025

15%

$0.1050 to $0.110

$0.1075

10%

Explanation / Answer

To compute standard deviation, we first need to calculate expected spot rate:

M

P

M xP

$0.0825

10%

$0.0083

$0.0875

15%

$0.0131

$0.0925

25%

$0.0231

$0.0975

25%

$0.0244

$0.1025

15%

$0.0154

$0.1075

10%

$0.0108

$0.0950

Expected spot rate(ES) = sum of M x P

                                      = 0.0950

M

P

M-ES

P x (M-ES)^2

$0.0825

10%

($0.0125)

0.000015625

$0.0875

15%

($0.0075)

8.4375E-06

$0.0925

25%

($0.0025)

1.5625E-06

$0.0975

25%

$0.0025

1.5625E-06

$0.1025

15%

$0.0075

8.4375E-06

$0.1075

10%

$0.0125

0.000015625

0.00005125

Standard deviation = ( sum of P x (M-ES)^2)^0.50

                                      = (0.00005125)^0.50

                                      = 0.72%

M

P

M xP

$0.0825

10%

$0.0083

$0.0875

15%

$0.0131

$0.0925

25%

$0.0231

$0.0975

25%

$0.0244

$0.1025

15%

$0.0154

$0.1075

10%

$0.0108

$0.0950

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