Suppose you have gathered the following data on 2 large U.S. firms that primaril
ID: 2749373 • Letter: S
Question
Suppose you have gathered the following data on 2 large U.S. firms that primarily own timber: Rayonier and Plum Creek. We are trying to use the market data on Rayonier to estimate the market value of Plum Creek. We have the following data (in $-billions):
Market value equity
Value debt
Cash
Net income
EBITDA
Plum Creek
?
3.3
.1
.19
.41
Rayonier
6.1
1.5
.2
.27
.56
Based on the EBITDA multiple, what is the estimated enterprise value of Plum Creek?
Based on the net income multiple, what is the estimated enterprise value of Plum Creek?
If the actual market cap of Plum Creek was $8 billion, would you recommend buying or selling Plum Creek? Why?
Market value equity
Value debt
Cash
Net income
EBITDA
Plum Creek
?
3.3
.1
.19
.41
Rayonier
6.1
1.5
.2
.27
.56
Explanation / Answer
Enterprise Value = Market Value of Debt + Market Value of Equity - Cash
For Rayonier,
Enterprise Value = 6.1 + 1.5 - 0.2 = $7.4 billion
EV / EBITDA = 7.4/0.56 = 13.21
EV / Net Income = 7.4/0.27 = 27.41
Based on EBITDA multiple,
Enterprise Value of Plum Creek = 13.21 * 0.41 = $5.42 billion
Based on Net Income multiple,
Enterprise Value of Plum Creek = 27.41 * 0.19 = $5.21 billion
If the actual market cap of Plum Creek was $8 billion,
Enterprise Value of Plum Creek = 8 + 3.3 - 0.1 = $ 11.2 billion
EV/EBITDA = 11.2/0.41 = 27.32
EV/Net Income = 11.2/0.19 = 58.95
Since EV/EBITDA and EV/Net Income of Plum Creek are higher than that of Rayonier, it is overvalued or more expensive as compared to Rayonier. Thus, I would recommend selling Plum Creek.
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