Goodwin Technologies, a relatively young company, has been wildly successful but
ID: 2757819 • Letter: G
Question
Goodwin Technologies, a relatively young company, has been wildly successful but has yet to pay a dividend. An analyst forecasts that Goodwin is likely to pay its first dividend three years from now. She expects Goodwin to pay a $1.25 dividend at that time (D3=$1.25) and believes that the dividend will grow by 6.50% for the following two years (D4 and D5). However, after the fifth year, she expects Goodwin’s dividend to grow at a constant rate of 3.36% per year.
Goodwin’s required return is 11.20%. The horizon value is $18.96.
1. What is the current intrinsic value?
a)$7.61
b) $13.60
c) $13.97
d) $12.69
If investors expect a total return of 12.20%, what will be Goodwin’s expected dividend and capital gains yield in two years-that is, the year before the firm begins paying dividends? (Hint: you are at year 2, and the first dividend is expected to be paid at the end of the year. Find DY3 and CGY3).
2. Expected dividend yield (DY3):
a) 7.62%
b) 9.19%
c) 7.59%
d) 9.79%
3. Expected capital gains yield (CGY3):
a) -4.26%
b) 11.12%
c) -1.12%
d) 4.58%
Goodwin has been very successful, but hasn’t paid a dividend yet. It circulates a report to its key investors containing the following statement: “Goodwin’s investment opportunities are poor”
4. Is this statement a possible explanation for why the firm hasn’t paid a dividend yet?
a) No
b) Yes
Explanation / Answer
Question1: What is the current intrinsic value
D3 = 1.25
D4 =1.25 * 1.0650 = 1.33
D5 =1.33*1.065 = 1.417
D6 = 1.42 * 1.0336 = 1.465
P5 = D6/(Ke - g) = 1.465/(0.112-0.0336)
P5 = 18.6916
So P0 = 1.25/1.112^3 + 1.33/1.112^4 + 1.417/1.112^5 + 18.6916/1.12^5 = $13.60
Current Intrinsic price = $13.60 (Option b)
Question 2: Dividend and capital gains yield
Current price is 13.60
So Price in 2 years = 13.60*1.112^2 = 16.40
Hence Dividend Yield = 1.25/ 16.40 = 7.62%(Option a)
Capital gain Yield = 12.2% - 7.62% = 4.58% (Option d)
4. It does not explain why the firm has not paid dividends. Hence answer is a) NO
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