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We are evaluating a project that costs $1,374,000, has a six-year life, and has

ID: 2782241 • Letter: W

Question

We are evaluating a project that costs $1,374,000, has a six-year life, and has no salvage value. Assume that depreciation is straight-line to zero over the life of the project. Sales are projected at 87,400 units per year. Price per unit is $34.45, variable cost per unit is $20.70, and fixed costs are $754,000 per year. The tax rate is 30 percent, and we require a return of 11 percent on this project.

  

Suppose the projections given for price, quantity, variable costs, and fixed costs are all accurate to within ±10 percent. Calculate the best-case and worst-case NPV figures.

Explanation / Answer

cost of a project

1374000

current level

base case with 10% increase

worst case with 10% decrease

sales in units

87400

96140

78300

selling price

34.45

37.895

31.005

total sales

3010930

3643225

2427692

variable cost per unit

20.7

22.77

18.63

total variable cost

1809180

2189108

1458729

contribution margin = total sales-total variable cost

1201750

1454118

968962.5

less fixed cost

754000

829400

678600

ebit

447750

624717.5

290362.5

less depreciation

229000

229000

229000

EBT

218750

395717.5

61362.5

less tax 30%

65625

118715.3

18408.75

EAT

153125

277002.3

42953.75

add depreciation

229000

229000

229000

EAT before depreciation

382125

506002.3

271953.8

PVAF at 11% for 6 years

1-(1+r)^-n /r

4.2305

4.2305

4.2305

sum of present value of cash inflow = earning after tax before depreciation*PVAF

1616580

2140643

1150500

less cost of a project

1374000

1374000

1374000

net present value

242579.8

766642.5

-223500

cost of a project

1374000

current level

base case with 10% increase

worst case with 10% decrease

sales in units

87400

96140

78300

selling price

34.45

37.895

31.005

total sales

3010930

3643225

2427692

variable cost per unit

20.7

22.77

18.63

total variable cost

1809180

2189108

1458729

contribution margin = total sales-total variable cost

1201750

1454118

968962.5

less fixed cost

754000

829400

678600

ebit

447750

624717.5

290362.5

less depreciation

229000

229000

229000

EBT

218750

395717.5

61362.5

less tax 30%

65625

118715.3

18408.75

EAT

153125

277002.3

42953.75

add depreciation

229000

229000

229000

EAT before depreciation

382125

506002.3

271953.8

PVAF at 11% for 6 years

1-(1+r)^-n /r

4.2305

4.2305

4.2305

sum of present value of cash inflow = earning after tax before depreciation*PVAF

1616580

2140643

1150500

less cost of a project

1374000

1374000

1374000

net present value

242579.8

766642.5

-223500

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