King, Inc., a successful Midwest firm, is considering opening a branch office on
ID: 2804683 • Letter: K
Question
King, Inc., a successful Midwest firm, is considering opening a branch office on the west coast. Under normal economic conditions, with a 45% probability of occurring, King can expect to earn a net income of $54,000 per year. In a mini-recession, at 25% probability, King will earn $22,000. In a severe recession, at a 20% probability, King will lose $17,000. There is also a slight probability (10%) that King will lose $209,000 if the expansion fails and the branch office must be closed.
What is the expected profit of the new branch?
Explanation / Answer
Probability Net Income Discounted income Normal Condition 45% 54,000 24,300 Mini-recession 25% 22,000 5,500 Severe recession 20% -17,000 -3,400 Slight Probability 10% -2,09,000 -20,900 Expected profit of the new branch 5,500
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