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3. A survey of 1055 registered voters is conducted, and the voters are asked to

ID: 2936280 • Letter: 3

Question

3. A survey of 1055 registered voters is conducted, and the voters are asked to choose between candidate A and B. Let p denote the fraction of voters in the population who prefer candidate A, and let p denote the fraction of voters in the sample who prefer Candidate A. If p = .51, estimate the probability that candidate A will win the election 4. Marx and Larsen 5.3.4 5. Marx and Larsen 5.3.5 6. Marx and Larsen 5.3.6 7. Marx and Larsen 5.3.7 8. Marx and Larsen 5.3.12 9. Marx and Larsen 5.4.17 marx & larsen https://s3.amazonaws.com/arena-attachments 532676/c7837c716215219142c213c5cab303e1.pdf

Explanation / Answer

Q3) We need to calculate

P( X> 0.50)

P( z> (0.50-0.51)/SQRT(0.51*0.49/1055)

= 0.7421 ( Rounded to four places of decimal)

So, probability that candidate A will win is 0.7421

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