Question 16 Identifying managerial prospects who are both talented and motivated

Question

Question 16 Identifying managerial prospects who are both talented and motivated is difficult. A human-resources director constructed 3 the following two-way table to define nine combinations of talent-motivation levels. Talent otivation High 05 19 l1 Medium Low 16 .32 .05 05 05 02 edium ow The number in a cell is the director's estimate of the probability that a managerial prospect from a fixed pool will fall in that category. Suppose the director has decided to hire a new manager from that pool of prospects. If an aptitude test ensures that the talent level of the newly hired manager is not low, what is the probability that (she is highly motivated and highly talented? on 17 old and Maude nlan fo take a cn

Explanation / Answer

P(Highly Motivated and Highly Talented/Not low)

= 0.05/(0.05+0.16+0.19+0.32+0.11+0.05)

= 0.05/0.88

= 5/88

= 0.0568

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