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Lumber cutters wish to use readily available measurements to estimate the number

ID: 3010654 • Letter: L

Question

Lumber cutters wish to use readily available measurements to estimate the number of board feet of lumber in a tree. Assume they measure the diameter of the tree in inches at waist height. Develop a model that predicts board feet as a function of diameter in inches. Use the following data for your test: The variable x is the diameter of a ponderosa pine in inches, and y is the number of board feet divided by 10. Consider two separate assumptions, allowing each to lead to a model. Completely analyze each model. Assume that all trees are right-circular cylinders and are approximately the same height. Assume that all trees are right-circular cylinders and that the height of the tree is proportional to the diameter. Which model appears to be better? Why? Justify your conclusions.

Explanation / Answer

This an example of Geometric Similarity in which f(x) = r2h.

i.Assume that all trees are right-circular cylinders, and are approximately the same height.

The assumption here is that h is constatnt as all trees have the same hight.
Hence our function f(x) = r2h

will be depedning or r2. Therefore,

yx2

First we have to determine whether or not y and x2

are proportional,i.e., whether or not there is a positive constant k satisfying y = kx2

. If they are not, we don’t have to proceed.

For this purpose, we compute the ratio y1/2/x

, because y1/2 and x are proportional if and only if y and x2

are proportional.

Therefore, we are allowed to say that the given data can be approximated by: (y1/2,x)

and y1/2/x

We get mean (y1/2/x

):

The mean value above is: 0.34
Therefore:

(0.34)2x2

Now let’s poluplate the data for y=0.11x2

Now plot the results