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5. Here we want to test whether the assessed housing price (assess below) is a r

ID: 3042003 • Letter: 5

Question

5. Here we want to test whether the assessed housing price (assess below) is a rational prediction for the actual housing price (price below) using variables

price = house price
assess = the assessed housing value (before the house was sold)

Consider a simple regression model price = 1 + 2assess + , the assessment is rational if 1 = 0 and 2 = 1. The estimated equation and other related information are given by

price = 14.47 + 0.976 assess

(16.27) (0.049)

n = 88, RSS = 165,644, R2 = 0.82
where the numbers in the parentheses are standard errors. Assume that Classical Assumptions for

SLRM (Simple Linear Regression Model) hold. Do the following questions.

(a) Obtain a 99% confidence interval of 2.

(b) Assume 1 = 0 is true. Test the hypothesis that the assessment is rational.

(c) On average, what is the estimated difference in housing prices with a house having an assessment of $100,000 versus a house with an assessment of $140,000 ?

Explanation / Answer

Answer:

5. Here we want to test whether the assessed housing price (assess below) is a rational prediction for the actual housing price (price below) using variables

price = house price
assess = the assessed housing value (before the house was sold)

Consider a simple regression model price = 1 + 2assess + , the assessment is rational if 1 = 0 and 2 = 1. The estimated equation and other related information are given by

price = 14.47 + 0.976 assess

             (16.27) (0.049)

n = 88, RSS = 165,644, R2 = 0.82
where the numbers in the parentheses are standard errors. Assume that Classical Assumptions for

SLRM (Simple Linear Regression Model) hold. Do the following questions.

(a) Obtain a 99% confidence interval of 2.

Df for t= n-2=88-2=86

99% t critical at 86 df =2.634

CI=±t*se

99% lower confidence interval of 2 = 0.976-2.634*0.049 =0.846934

99% upper confidence interval of 2 = 0.976+2.634*0.049 =1.105066

(b) Assume 1 = 0 is true. Test the hypothesis that the assessment is rational.

The assessment is rational if 1 = 0 and 2 = 1.

The 99% confidence interval for 2 is ( 0.8469, 1.1051) contains the value 1.

2 is not different from 1.

The assessment is rational.

(c) On average, what is the estimated difference in housing prices with a house having an assessment of $100,000 versus a house with an assessment of $140,000 ?

0.976*140000 - 0.976*100000 = 39040

Estimated difference in housing prices = $ 39040.

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