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Problem 3 Consider two hospitals A and B that have the data relating to patient

ID: 3046985 • Letter: P

Question

Problem 3 Consider two hospitals A and B that have the data relating to patient condition before admission and survival outcomes after being admitted for treatment Outcome Condition Hospital A Hospital B Good 10 40 800 200 Died 295 1000 2000 Good Survived (a)Compare the two hospitals' overall percentage of deaths. If you needed surgery, would you prefer Hospital A or Hospital B? (b) If you needed surgery and your condition was rated as good, which hospital would you prefer? (c) If you needed surgery and your condition was rated as bad, which hospital would you prefer? (d) Do your answers from (b) and (c) contradict your answer in (a)? What is this phenomenon called? Which hospital do you ultimately decide to be better?

Explanation / Answer

(a)
Overall Percentage of death for hospital A is 9.09%.
Overall Percentage of death for hospital B is 4.7%.
Based on this, I would choose hospital B for surgery

(b)
Percentage of death for patients in a good condition in hospital A is 0.49%.
Percentage of death for patients in a good condition in hospital A is 1.23%.
Based on this, I would choose hospital A for surgery.

(c)
Percentage of death for patients in a bad condition in hospital A is 12.85%.
Percentage of death for patients in a bad condition in hospital A is 16.67%.
Based on this, I would choose hospital A for surgery.

(d)
The answers in (b) and (c) do contradict with (a). Hospital A is preferable because of better conditional percentages of death.

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