If \"Paul the (World Cup) Octopus\" was still alive to predict the outcome of a

Question

If "Paul the (World Cup) Octopus" was still alive to predict the outcome of a future soccer match, what would be his probability of successfully predicting the winner (assuming the two teams would play until a tie was broken)?

P = 1 (Soccer is Paul's specialty, after all)

P = 0.75 (Paul knows quite a bit about soccer, but he's fallible)

P = 0.50 (Why should an octopus do any better than chance?)

P = 0.25 (Paul has lost his touch)

E. P = 0 (Why would an octopus ever correctly predict a soccer outcome?

P = 1 (Soccer is Paul's specialty, after all)

P = 0.75 (Paul knows quite a bit about soccer, but he's fallible)

P = 0.50 (Why should an octopus do any better than chance?)

P = 0.25 (Paul has lost his touch)

E. P = 0 (Why would an octopus ever correctly predict a soccer outcome?

Explanation / Answer

Option C

P=0.50

This is because it is merely a guess work and both the teams reaching finals have equal chances of winning, hence it is a matter of chance.

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