homework help. please and thank you!! 2. Cell phones use different color codes w
ID: 3048122 • Letter: H
Question
homework help. please and thank you!!
Explanation / Answer
Answer to question# 2)
Part a)
We need to find the probability that the cell phone is of model I , we laready know that it is using color code 5
Thus this implies we need to find the conditional probablity of moel I given code 5
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Formula of conditional probability
P(A |B) = P(A given B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
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LIkewise we get:
P(Model I | code 5) = Probability of mdel I given code 5
P(model I | code 5) = P(model I AND Code 5) / P(Code 5)
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Formula of probability = favorable outcomes / total outcomes
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P(code 5) = total outcomes with code 5 / total outcomes
P(Code 5) = (35+50) / 170
P(code 5) = 85 /170
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P(model I and Code 5) = total outcomes with model I and code 5 / total number of outcomes
P(Model I and Code 5) = 35 /170
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On plugging the values of P(Code 5) and P(model I and Code 5) in the formula of conditional probability we get
P(Model I | Code 5) = (35 /170) / (85 /170)
P(Model I | Code 5) = 35 /85
P(Model I | Code 5) = 0.4118
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Part b)
We need to find the probability that the phone uses either code 0 or b , and it is already given that the phone is of model I
Again , this is question is asking about conditional probability
P(Code 0 or b | Model I) = Probability of code 0 or B given it is model I
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Thus using the conditional formula we get
P(Code 0 or b | Model I) = P((code 0 or b) AND Model I) / P(Model I)
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Now P((Code 0 or b) and Model I) = P(code 0 and model I or Code b and model I)
P(code 0 and model I or code b and model I) = P(code 0 and model I) + P(code b and model I)
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P(code 0 and model I) = number of outcomes with code 0 and model I / total number of outcomes
P(code 0 and model I) = 20 /170
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P(code b and model I) = number of outcomes with code b and model I / total number of outcomes
P(code b and model I) = 40 /170
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Thus P(code 0 or b AND model I) = (20 /170) + (40/170)
P(code 0 or b AND model I) = 60 /170
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P(model I) = number of outcomes with model I / total number of outcomes
P(model I) = (20 +35 +40 +0) / 170
P(model I) = 95 /170
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On plugging these values in the formula of conditional probablity we get:
P(Code 0 or b | Model I) = (60 /170) / (95/170)
P(code 0 or b | model I ) = 60 /95 = 0.6316
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Part c)
We need to find the probability that the phone is not using code c given that it is model I
Again this question has the condition that the phone is model I
P(No Code c | Model I) = 1 - P(Code c |model I)
[rule of complementary events]
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Using the formula of conditional probability we get
P(code c | model I) = P(code c AND model I) / P(model I)
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P(code c and model I) = number of outcomes with code c and model I / total number of outcomes
P(code c and model I) = 0 /170
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P(model I) = number of outcomes with model I / total number of outcomes
P(model I) = 95 /170
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On plugging the vlaues in formula of conditional probability we get
P(code c | model I) = 0
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P(No code c | model I) = 1 - 0 = 1
Thus porbability that the model has no code c , given that it is model I is 1
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Part d)
If two events are independent then the multiplication rule must apply on them
As per the multiplication rule
P(A and B) = P(A) *P(B)
then the events A and B are considered to be independent events
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Let us verify this equation for the two events : Code 0 and model II
P(Code 0 and Model II) = Number of outcomes with code 0 and model II / total number of outcomes
P(code 0 and model II) = 15 /170
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P(code 0) = number of outcomes with code ) / total number of outcomes
P(code 0) = (20 +15) / 170
P(code 0) = 35 /170
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P(model II) = number of outcomes with model II / total number of outcomes
P(model II) = (15 +50 +6 +4) / 170
P(model II) = 75 /170
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NOw we got LHS = P(model II and code 0) = 15/170
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Now we check the right hand side of the multiplication rule , and check if it equates to LHS or not
RHS = P(Model II) * P(code 0)
RHS = (75 /170) * (35 /170)
RHS = (15/34) * (7 /34)
RHS = 105 / 1156 is not equal LHS
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Hence the multipication rule for Model II and code 0 does not hold true
Hence the events Model II and Code 0 are NOT independent.
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