Here is a simple probability model for multiple-choice tests. Suppose that each
ID: 3063704 • Letter: H
Question
Here is a simple probability model for multiple-choice tests. Suppose that each student has probability p of correctly answering a question chosen at random from a universe of possible questions. (A strong student has a higher p than a weak student.) The correctness of answers to different questions are independent. Jodi is a good student for whom p = 0.79.
(a) Use the normal approximation to find the probability that Jodi scores 74% or lower on a 100-question test.(Round the probablity to the 4th decimal place,)
I got .1131 for this
(b) If the test contains 250 questions, what is the probability that Jodi will score 74% or lower? (Round the probablity to the 4th decimal place,)
I got .0268 for this
(c) How many questions must the test contain in order to reduce the standard deviation of Jodi's proportion of correct answers to half its value for a 100-item test?
Stumped on how to do this
Explanation / Answer
Ans:
sampling distribution of sample proportions:
mean=p
standard deviation=sqrt(p(1-p)/n)
a)mean=0.79
standard deviation=sqrt(0.79*(1-0.79)/100)=0.0407
z=(0.74-0.79)/0.0407=-1.23
P(z<=-1.23)=0.1093
b)standard deviation=sqrt(0.79*(1-0.79)/250)=0.0258
z=(0.74-0.79)/0.0258=-1.94
P(z<=-1.94)=0.0262
c)As,standard deviation is inversely proportional to sqrt(n),so for reducing the standard deviation to half,number of questions must be increased 4 times i.e. 400
standard deviation=sqrt(0.79*(1-0.79)/400) i.e. just half of the standard deviation in part a)
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