A municipal bond service has three rating categories (A, B, and C). Suppose that
ID: 3071783 • Letter: A
Question
A municipal bond service has three rating categories (A, B, and C). Suppose that in the past year, of the municipal bonds issued thoughout a country, 60% were rated A, 10% were rated B, and 30% were rated C. Of the municipal bonds rated A, 50% were issued by cities, 10% by suburbs, and 40% by rural areas. Of the municipal bonds rated B, 40% were issued by cities, 50% by suburbs, and 10% by rural areas. Of the municipal bonds rated C, 80% were issued by cities, 15% by suburbs, and 5% by rural areas. Complete (a) through (c) below.
a. If a new municipal bond is to be issued by a city, what is the probability that it will receive an A rating? (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
b. What proportion of municipal bonds are issued by cities?
c. What proportion of municipal bonds are issued by suburbs?
Explanation / Answer
Ans:
b)P(cities)=P(cities/A)*P(A)+P(cities/B)*P(B)+P(cities/C)*P(C)
=0.5*0.6+0.4*0.1+0.8*0.3
=0.58
c)P(suburbs)=P(suburbs/A)*P(A)+P(suburbs/B)*P(B)+P(suburbs/C)*P(C)
=0.1*0.6+0.5*0.1+0.15*0.3=0.155
a)P(A/cities)=P(cities/A)*P(A)/P(cities)=0.5*0.6/0.58=0.3/0.58=0.517
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