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1) Suppose a person is chosen at random. Use your knowledge about the world to d

ID: 3108714 • Letter: 1

Question

1)

Suppose a person is chosen at random. Use your knowledge about the world to decide whether the event that the person has

brownbrown eyes and the event that the person is femalefemale are independent or associated.

Choose the correct answer below.

A The two events are independent because having brownbrown eyes does not depend on being

femalefemale.

B.The two events are associated because having brownbrown eyes does not depend on being

femalefemale.

C.The two events are associated because being femalefemale depends on having brownbrown

eyes.

D.The two events are independent because being femalefemale depends on having

brownbrown

eyes.

2) Consider two pairs of grandparents. The first pair has 44 ;grandchildren and the second pair has

3636

grandchildren. Which of the two pairs is more likely to have between 40% and 60%

girlsgirls

as grandchildren, assuming that boys and girls are equally likely as children? Why?

Choose the correct answer below.

A.

The first pair is more likely to have between 40% and 60%

girlsgirls

because the second pair are having so many grandchildren it is less likely that they will have between 40% and 60%

girlsgirls

in accordance with the Law of Large Numbers.

B.

The second pair is more likely to have between 40% and 60%

girlsgirls

because the Law of Large Numbers suggests that the larger the number of repetitions, the closer the empirical probability of an event is likely to be to the true theoretical probability.

C.

Both pairs of grandparents are equally likely to have between 40% and 60%

girlsgirls

according tot he Law of Large Numbers.

D.

The first pair is more likely to have between 40% and 60%

girlsgirls

because it is likely they have exactly 50%

girlsgirls

which is equal to the theoretical value.

Explanation / Answer

1 ) A : The event of having brown eyes B : The event of being a female

The two events A and B are independent as the event A is not affected due to the occurance of event B or vice versa

Answer : A

2) First pair : 4 Grand Children Second Pair : 36 Grand Children

The probability of a girl or boy is the same (equally likely)

Out of 4 (40% to 60% ) is (1.6, 2.4)

Out of 36 (40% to 60%) is (14.4, 21.6)

According to Law of Large Numbers the occurance of an event is more likely to the theroetical case if the number of occurances are more

So pair 2 is likely to have 40% to 60% girls as grand children

Answer : B