In order to estimate the effectiveness of thinning, five plots were established
ID: 3131268 • Letter: I
Question
In order to estimate the effectiveness of thinning, five plots were established in thinned and unthinned stands (on similar sites and in similar forest types). On each plot, the volume increment per year per hectare was measured. The results follow:
Volume Increment (m3/hectare/year)
Thinned
Unthinned
8
9
6
4
5
4
10
6
11
2
a.Estimate the real standard deviation in the thinned stand with 90% confidence limits.
b.Using the proper technique, find out if the real variances from both stands are similar or significantly different, with 90% confidence.
Volume Increment (m3/hectare/year)
Thinned
Unthinned
8
9
6
4
5
4
10
6
11
2
Explanation / Answer
A)
USing technology, the sample standard deviation is
s = 2.549509757
As
df = n - 1 = 4
alpha = (1 - confidence level)/2 = 0.05
Then the critical values for chi^2 are
chi^2(alpha/2) = 9.487729037
chi^2(alpha/2) = 0.710723021
Thus, as
lower bound = (n - 1) s^2 / chi^2(alpha/2) = 2.740381803
upper bound = (n - 1) s^2 / chi^2(1 - alpha/2) = 36.58246493
Thus, the confidence interval for the variance is
( 2.740381803 , 36.58246493 )
Also, for the standard deviation, getting the square root of the bounds,
( 1.65540986 , 6.048343982 ) [ANSWER]
***********************
b)
Using technology, the sample standard deviations are
s1 = 2.549509757
s2 = 2.645751311
Formulating the null and alternative hypotheses,
Ho: sigma1^2 / sigma2^2 = 1
Ha: sigma1^2 / sigma2^2 =/ 1
As we can see, this is a two tailed test.
Thus, getting the critical F, as alpha = 0.1 ,
alpha/2 = 0.05
df1 = n1 - 1 = 4
df2 = n2 - 1 = 4
F (crit) = 0.156537812 and 6.388232909
Getting the test statistic, as
s1 = 2.549509757
s2 = 2.645751311
Thus, F = s1^2/s2^2 = 0.928571429
As F is between the two critical values, we FAIL TO REJECT THE NULL HYPOTHESIS.
Hence, there is no significant evidence that the real variances from both standard are different, at 0.10 significance. [CONCLUSION]
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