In June 2013, the mayor of New York City proposed a limit of at most 16 ounces o
ID: 3152946 • Letter: I
Question
In June 2013, the mayor of New York City proposed a limit of at most 16 ounces on sugary beverages sold in restaurants. He argued that limiting sugar intake would lower rates of obesity and diabetes. A Gallup poll used a random sample of 1015 US adults on June 15-16. They asked if people support a ban on sugary beverages with over 16 ounces in restaurants. Only 485 respondents said they favored the ban.
Question 1 (1 point)
Check the three assumptions. Select all the assumptions which are satisfied.
Question 1 options:
Independent trials.
Large enough sample size?
Representative sample.
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Question 2 (1 point)
We want to know if less than half of US adults residents favor the ban. What are our null and alternative hypotheses?
Question 2 options:
H0:p=0.5,HA:p<0.478
H0:p =0.478,HA:p >0.478
H0:p =0.5,HA:p <0.5
H0:p=0.5,HA:p<0.5
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Question 3 (1 point)
Compute the observed result for this sample.
Question 3 options:
0.478
1015
0.5
485
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Question 4 (1 point)
Compute the standard error of the sample proportion under the null hypothesis.
Question 4 options:
0.478×0.5221015=0.01568
0.478×0.522485=0.02268
0.5×0.51015=0.01569
0.5×0.5485=0.02270
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Question 5 (2 points)
a) Copy down your answer choices to problems #3 and #4. Compute the z statistic. Must show your work to receive any credit! (1pt)
b) Use the web app to find the p-value. (1pt)
Question 5 options:
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Question 6 (1 point)
What distribution should you use as a reference to obtain a p-value?
Question 6 options:
t with 484 degrees of freedom
Normal
t with 1 degree of freedom
t with 1014 degrees of freedom
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Question 7 (1 point)
Explain how you used the web app to get the p-value for this test.
Question 7 options:
Less than the observed result.
Less than the null value.
Less than the z statistic.
Less than the standard error.
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Question 8 (1 point)
What do you “decide” about the null hypothesis using a 0.05 significance level?
Question 8 options:
Accept the null hypothesis.
Fail to accept the null hypothesis.
Reject the null hypothesis.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis.
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Question 9 (1 point)
Give your conclusion in the context of the problem.
Question 9 options:
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Question 10 (1 point)
To whom does your inference apply?
Question 10 options:
The 1015 people in our sample
All US adults in June 2013
All New York City residents
All US adults
Independent trials.
Large enough sample size?
Representative sample.
Explanation / Answer
1.
Independent trials. [Check, as a random sam ple is used]
Large enough sample size [check, as 1016 is large]
Representative sample [Check, as it is a random sample]
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2.
Formulating the null and alternatuve hypotheses,
Ho: p = 0.5
Ha: p < 0.5 [ANSWER, D]
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3.
As we see, the hypothesized po = 0.5
Getting the point estimate of p, p^,
p^ = x / n = 0.477832512 = 0.478 [ANSWER, A]
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4.
Getting the standard error of p^, sp,
sp = sqrt[po (1 - po)/n] = 0.015694121 [ANSWER, A]
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5.
Getting the z statistic,
z = (p^ - po)/sp = -1.412470846 [ANSWER]
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As this is a 1 tailed test, then, getting the p value,
p = 0.078905684 [ANSWER, P VALUE]
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