Tracy Johnson produces and promotes outdoor rock concerts throughout the summerm
ID: 3171701 • Letter: T
Question
Tracy Johnson produces and promotes outdoor rock concerts throughout the summermonths in southeastern United States. This summer she has numerous concertsscheduled on different dates. The main threat to the success of these concerts is rain. If itdoes not rain, then Tracy, the producer, expects to make a profit of $20,000 from each
concert. If it does rain, then she will lose $12,000 ( rock star’s fees, advertising costs,
stadium rental, administrative costs, etc.). For this time of year the National WeatherService states that the probability of rain is 0.4.
3. Assuming the National Weather Service’s forecast is accurate, do you believe the
insurance company has charged too little or too much? Explain.
Explanation / Answer
Insurance amount = $1000
Expected loss = 0.4x12,000 = $4800
So, the insurance company havew charged her too little
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