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Here is a simple probability model for multiple-choice tests. Suppose that each

ID: 3172011 • Letter: H

Question

Here is a simple probability model for multiple-choice tests. Suppose that each student has probability p of correctly answering a question chosen at random from a universe of possible questions. (A strong student has a higher p than a weak student.) The correctness of answers to different questions are independent. Jodi is a good student for whom p = 0.78. Use the Normal approximate to find the probability that Jodi scores 71 percentage or lower on a 100-question test. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) If the test contains 250 questions, what is the probability that Jodi will score 71 percentage or lower? (use the normal approximation. Round your answer to four decimal places.) How many questions must the test contain in order to reduce the standard deviation of Jodi's proportion of correct answers to half its value for a 100-item test?

Explanation / Answer

a) here std error =(p(1-p)/n)1/2  where p=0.78 and n=100

=0.0414

a)hence P(P<0.71)=P(Z<(0.71-0.78)/0.0414)=P(Z<-1.6898)=0.0455

b) for n=250 ; std errror =0.0262

hence P(P<0.71)=P(Z<(0.71-0.78)/0.0262)=P(Z<-2.6718)=0.0038

c)as std deviation is inversely proportion to square root of sample size

hence number of question =400

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