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The results of a study that tried to determine the effects of smoking on lung ca

ID: 3174340 • Letter: T

Question

The results of a study that tried to determine the effects of smoking on lung cancer in a study group was as follows:

Has lung cancer

No lung cancer

Smoker

9

3

Non-Smoker

6

57

a. Are the events “Non-smoker” and “No lung cancer” independent?

b. The study was later modified and one more group of individuals were included:

Has lung cancer

No lung cancer

Smoker

0.08

0.01

Non-Smoker

0.06

0.79

Quit smoking

If events “Quit smoking” and “No lung cancer” are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that a person has quit smoking and has lung cancer?

Has lung cancer

No lung cancer

Smoker

9

3

Non-Smoker

6

57

Explanation / Answer

a)

P(non smoker) = 63/75

P(No lung cancer) = 60/75

P(non smoker and No lung cancer) = 57/75

Since P(non smoker and No lung cancer) P(non smoker) * P(No lung cancer), the events “Non-smoker” and “No lung cancer” are not independent.

b. If events “Quit smoking” and “No lung cancer” are mutually exclusive, then P(Quit smoking and No lung cancer) = 0. Sum of all probabilities in the table must be 1. Therefore, complete table is:

Has lung cancer

No lung cancer

Smoker

0.08

0.01

Non-Smoker

0.06

0.79

Quit smoking

1-(0.08+0.01+0.06+0.79) = 0.06

0

Has lung cancer No lung cancer Total Smoker 9 3 12 Non-Smoker 6 57 63 Total 15 60 75
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