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A survey of Internet users reported that 15% downloaded music onto their compute

ID: 3174363 • Letter: A

Question

A survey of Internet users reported that 15% downloaded music onto their computers. The filing of lawsuits by the recording industry may be a reason why this percent has decreased from the estimate of 31% from a survey taken two years before. Suppose we are not exactly sure about the sizes of the samples. Perform the calculations for the significance tests and 95% confidence intervals under each of the following assumptions. (Use previous recent. Round your test statistics to two decimal places and your confidence intervals to four decimal places.)

(i) Both sample sizes are 1000.

z =

95% C.I.= ( , )

(ii) Both sample sizes are 1600.

z =

95% C.I.= ( , )

(iii) The sample size for the survey reporting 31% is 1000 and the sample size for the survey reporting 15% is 1600.

z =

95% C.I. = ( , )

Explanation / Answer

(i)

Data:

n1 = 1000

n2 = 1000

p1 = 0.031

p2 = 0.015

Hypotheses:

Ho: p1 p2

Ha: p1 < p2

Decision Rule:

= 0.05

Lower Critical z- score = -1.644853627

Reject Ho if z < -1.644853627

Test Statistic:

Average proportion, p = (n1p1 + n2p2)/(n1 + n2) = (1000 * 0.031 + 1000 * 0.015)/(1000 + 1000) = 0.023

q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.023 = 0.977

SE = [pq * {(1/n1) + (1/n2)}] = (0.023 * 0.977 * ((1/1000) + (1/1000))) = 0.006703879

z = (p1 - p2)/SE = (0.031 - 0.015)/0.00670387947385691 = 2.39

n1 = 1000

n2 = 1000

p1 = 0.031

p2 = 0.015

% = 95

Pooled Proportion, p = (n1 p1 + n2 p2)/(n1 + n2) = (1000 * 0.031 + 1000 * 0.015)/(1000 + 1000) = 0.023

q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.023 = 0.977

SE = (pq * ((1/n1) + (1/n2))) = (0.023 * 0.977 * ((1/1000) + (1/1000))) = 0.006703879

z- score = 1.959963985

Width of the confidence interval = z * SE = 1.95996398454005 * 0.00670387947385691 = 0.013139362

Lower Limit of the confidence interval = (p1 - p2) - width = 0.016 - 0.0131393623254569 = 0.002860638

Upper Limit of the confidence interval = (p1 - p2) + width = 0.016 + 0.0131393623254569 = 0.029139362

The 95% confidence interval is [0.0029, 0.0291]

(ii)

Data:

n1 = 1600

n2 = 1600

p1 = 0.031

p2 = 0.015

Hypotheses:

Ho: p1 ³ p2

Ha: p1 < p2

Decision Rule:

= 0.05

Lower Critical z- score = -1.644853627

Reject Ho if z < -1.644853627

Test Statistic:

Average proportion, p = (n1p1 + n2p2)/(n1 + n2) = (1600 * 0.031 + 1600 * 0.015)/(1600 + 1600) = 0.023

q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.023 = 0.977

SE = [pq * {(1/n1) + (1/n2)}] = (0.023 * 0.977 * ((1/1600) + (1/1600))) = 0.005299882

z = (p1 - p2)/SE = (0.031 - 0.015)/0.00529988207415976 = 3.02

n1 = 1600

n2 = 1600

p1 = 0.031

p2 = 0.015

% = 95

Pooled Proportion, p = (n1 p1 + n2 p2)/(n1 + n2) = (1600 * 0.031 + 1600 * 0.015)/(1600 + 1600) = 0.023

q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.023 = 0.977

SE = (pq * ((1/n1) + (1/n2))) = (0.023 * 0.977 * ((1/1600) + (1/1600))) = 0.005299882

z- score = 1.959963985

Width of the confidence interval = z * SE = 1.95996398454005 * 0.00529988207415976 = 0.010387578

Lower Limit of the confidence interval = (p1 - p2) - width = 0.016 - 0.0103875779876626 = 0.005612422

Upper Limit of the confidence interval = (p1 - p2) + width = 0.016 + 0.0103875779876626 = 0.026387578

The 95% confidence interval is [0.0056, 0.0264]

(iii)

Data:

n1 = 1000

n2 = 1600

p1 = 0.031

p2 = 0.015

Hypotheses:

Ho: p1 ³ p2

Ha: p1 < p2

Decision Rule:

= 0.05

Lower Critical z- score = -1.644853627

Reject Ho if z < -1.644853627

Test Statistic:

Average proportion, p = (n1p1 + n2p2)/(n1 + n2) = (1000 * 0.031 + 1600 * 0.015)/(1000 + 1600) = 0.021153846

q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.0211538461538462 = 0.978846154

SE = [pq * {(1/n1) + (1/n2)}] = (0.0211538461538462 * 0.978846153846154 * ((1/1000) + (1/1600))) = 0.005800676

z = (p1 - p2)/SE = (0.031 - 0.015)/0.00580067552432142 = 2.76

n1 = 1000

n2 = 1600

p1 = 0.031

p2 = 0.015

% = 95

Pooled Proportion, p = (n1 p1 + n2 p2)/(n1 + n2) = (1000 * 0.031 + 1600 * 0.015)/(1000 + 1600) = 0.021153846

q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.0211538461538462 = 0.978846154

SE = (pq * ((1/n1) + (1/n2))) = (0.0211538461538462 * 0.978846153846154 * ((1/1000) + (1/1600))) = 0.005800676

z- score = 1.959963985

Width of the confidence interval = z * SE = 1.95996398454005 * 0.00580067552432142 = 0.011369115

Lower Limit of the confidence interval = (p1 - p2) - width = 0.016 - 0.011369115113673 = 0.004630885

Upper Limit of the confidence interval = (p1 - p2) + width = 0.016 + 0.011369115113673 = 0.027369115

The 95% confidence interval is 0.0046, 0.0274].

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