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In a recent international poll, nine of 44 respondents rated the likelihood of a

ID: 3175186 • Letter: I

Question

In a recent international poll, nine of 44 respondents rated the likelihood of a terrorist attack in their community as "likely" or "very likely." Use the "Plus Four" method to create a 96% confidence interval for the proportion of American adults who believe that a terrorist attack in their community is likely or very likely. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)

( ? , ? )

Explain what this confidence interval means in the context of the problem.

a)We are 96% confident that the true proportion of American adults that believe that a terrorist attack in their community is likely or very likely lies within this interval.

b)We are 96% confident that the proportion of American adults in the sample of 44 adults that believe that a terrorist attack in their community is likely or very likely lies within this interval.    

c)There is a 96% chance that an American adult believes that a terrorist attack in their community is likely or very likely.

d)We are 96% confident that an American adult believes that a terrorist attack in their community is likely or very likely.

Explanation / Answer

The confidence interval is a interval for sample proportion.

Lower limit < p < Upper limit

where p is sample proportion.

We have, 96% confidence level , Therefore we interpret it as

(b) We are 96% confident that the proportion of American adults in the sample of 44 adults that believe that a terrorist attack in their community is likely or very likely lies within this interval.

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