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Next week, Super Discount Airlines has a flight from New York to Los Angeles tha

ID: 3217582 • Letter: N

Question

Next week, Super Discount Airlines has a flight from New York to Los Angeles that will be booked to capacity. The airline knows from past history that an average of 24 customers (with a standard deviation of 13) cancel their reservation or do not show for the flight. Revenue from a ticket on the flight is $105. If the flight is overbooked, the airline has a policy of getting the customer on the next available flight and giving the person a free round-trip ticket on a future flight. The cost of this free round-trip ticket averages $215. Super Discount considers the cost of flying the plane from New York to Los Angeles a sunk cost. By how many seats should Super Discount overbook the flight? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) Overbooked by passengers

Explanation / Answer

The cost of underestimating the number of cancellation is $128

The cost of overestimating cancellation is $230

Cu = $105

Co = $215

P Cu / Cu + Co

P 105/220

P 0.477272727

P0.477

Z Value at above probability = -0.057

Seats to overbook = Mean + Z Value * SD

= 24 + 13*-0.057

= 23.259

=23 (nearest whole number)

Super discount should overbook 23 passengers on the flight.

The cost of underestimating the number of cancellation is $128

The cost of overestimating cancellation is $230

Cu = $105

Co = $215

P Cu / Cu + Co

P 105/220

P 0.477272727

P0.477

Z Value at above probability = -0.057

Seats to overbook = Mean + Z Value * SD

= 24 + 13*-0.057

= 23.259

=23 (nearest whole number)

Super discount should overbook 23 passengers on the flight.

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