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Using the data below perform data analysis using Regression analysis, run regres

ID: 3223290 • Letter: U

Question

Using the data below

perform data analysis using Regression analysis, run regression with excel,test for fitness- R2 R and fisher

test for significance: state the hypothesis at 5% level of significance

predict sales using moving average 2 or 3 period

test for accuracy using MAD2 MAD3

Compare and draw conclusions

year

Merchandise Cost

    X ( millions)

Net Sales

Y (millions)

2002

3,127

37,994

2003

3,339

41,694

2004

3,643

47,148

2005

4,014

51,879

2006

4,568

58,963

2007

4,879

63,087

2008

5,039

70,977

2009

5,405

69,889

2010

5,638

76,255

2011

6,638

87,048

2012

7,096

97,062

2013

7,894

102,870

2014

8,456

110,212

2015

8,908

113,666

2016

8,969

116,073

year

Merchandise Cost

    X ( millions)

Net Sales

Y (millions)

2002

3,127

37,994

2003

3,339

41,694

2004

3,643

47,148

2005

4,014

51,879

2006

4,568

58,963

2007

4,879

63,087

2008

5,039

70,977

2009

5,405

69,889

2010

5,638

76,255

2011

6,638

87,048

2012

7,096

97,062

2013

7,894

102,870

2014

8,456

110,212

2015

8,908

113,666

2016

8,969

116,073

Explanation / Answer

MAD = 140,979 / 12 = 11748.25

Compare and Conclusion

Conclusion : MAD for 2nd year is less hence the accuracy is more comapare to moving average 3rd year.

Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.996 R Square 0.993 Adjusted R Square 0.992 Standard Error 2394.274 Observations 15.000
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