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18.2 James Jesse, the head of the Bureau of Animal Husbandry, perceives that sev

ID: 3227308 • Letter: 1

Question

18.2       James Jesse, the head of the Bureau of Animal Husbandry, perceives that several agencies received large increases in appropriations last year because they encouraged interest groups to testify for them before the House Appropriations Committee. The accompanying sample data for five agencies similar to Jesse’s were gathered. Using regression analysis, calculate a regression equation. Does a relationship exist? The Bureau of Animal Husbandry could pressure 15 groups to testify for it. What percentage increase in appropriation would this number of groups predict? Place a 90% confidence interval around that estimate. How large an increase is each additional interest group worth?

Interest Groups Testifying

Percentage Increase in Appropriation

25

                                      22

14

                                       17

7

                                        8

18

                                      19

Interest Groups Testifying

Percentage Increase in Appropriation

25

                                      22

14

                                       17

7

                                        8

18

                                      19

Explanation / Answer

x   y   x^2   y^2   xy
25   22   625   484   550
14   17   196   289   238
7   8   49   64   56
18   19   324   361   342
              
64   66   1194   1198   1186

b1= nE(xy)-ExEy/nE(x2)-(Ex2)

=4*1186-(64*66)/4*1194-(64*64)

=4744-4244/4776-4096

=500/680

=0.735294

b0=Ey-b1Ex/n

=66-0.735294*64/4

=35736-1863.48/25

=4.235294

Therefore, y=4.235294+0.735294x

r (correlation)=n(Exy)-(Ex)(Ey)/sqrt(nEx2-(Ex)2)(nEY2-(Ey)2)

=4*1186-(64*66)/sqrt*(4*1194)-(64*64)(4*1198-(66*66)

=4744-4244/sqrt*4776-4096*4792-4356

=500/544.50=0.918

r^2=0.918*0.918=0.843

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