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In this problem, assume that the distribution of differences is approximately no

ID: 3229026 • Letter: I

Question

In this problem, assume that the distribution of differences is approximately normal. Note: For degrees of freedom d.f. not in the Student's t table, use the closest d.f. that is smaller. In some situations, this choice of d.f. may increase the P-value by a small amount and therefore produce a slightly more "conservative" answer.

In environmental studies, sex ratios are of great importance. Wolf society, packs, and ecology have been studied extensively at different locations in the U.S. and foreign countries. Sex ratios for eight study sites in northern Europe are shown below.

It is hypothesized that in winter, "loner" males (not present in summer packs) join the pack to increase survival rate. Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the average percentage of males in a wolf pack is higher in winter. (Let d = winter summer.)

(a) What is the level of significance?


State the null and alternate hypotheses. Will you use a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

H0: d = 0; H1: d < 0; left-tailedH0: d = 0; H1: d > 0; right-tailed    H0: d = 0; H1: d 0; two-tailedH0: d > 0; H1: d = 0; right-tailed


(b) What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you making?

The standard normal. We assume that d has an approximately uniform distribution.The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.    The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately uniform distribution.The standard normal. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.


What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)


(c) Find (or estimate) the P-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to the P-value.


(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level ?

At the = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.At the = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.    At the = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.


(e) State your conclusion in the context of the application.

Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence to claim that the average percentage of male wolves in winter is higher.Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence to claim that the average percentage of male wolves in winter is higher.    Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence to claim that the average percentage of male wolves in winter is higher.Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence to claim that th

Location of Wolf Pack % Males (Winter) % Males (Summer) Finland 60 59 Finland 60 65 Finland 74 61 Lapland 55 48 Lapland 64 55 Russia 50 50 Russia 41 50 Russia 55 45 -2

Explanation / Answer

Answer:

It is hypothesized that in winter, "loner" males (not present in summer packs) join the pack to increase survival rate. Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the average percentage of males in a wolf pack is higher in winter. (Let d = winter summer.)

(a) What is the level of significance?
0.05

State the null and alternate hypotheses. Will you use a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

H0: d = 0; H1: d > 0; right-tailed  

  


(b) What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you making?

The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.   


What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)

t=1.1846

P=0.1374

Sketch the sampling distribution Plot 4 ( bottom right).

(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level ?

At the = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.  

  


(e) State your conclusion in the context of the application.

Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence to claim that the average percentage of male wolves in winter is higher.   

Paired t Test

Data

Hypothesized Mean Difference

0

Level of significance

0.05

Intermediate Calculations

Sample Size

8

DBar

3.2500

Degrees of Freedom

7

SD

7.7598

Standard Error

2.7435

t Test Statistic

1.1846

Upper-Tail Test

Upper Critical Value

1.8946

p-Value

0.1374

Do not reject the null hypothesis

Paired t Test

Data

Hypothesized Mean Difference

0

Level of significance

0.05

Intermediate Calculations

Sample Size

8

DBar

3.2500

Degrees of Freedom

7

SD

7.7598

Standard Error

2.7435

t Test Statistic

1.1846

Upper-Tail Test

Upper Critical Value

1.8946

p-Value

0.1374

Do not reject the null hypothesis

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