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A product with an annual demand of 800 units has C_0 = $24.50 and C_h = $9. The

ID: 3232781 • Letter: A

Question

A product with an annual demand of 800 units has C_0 = $24.50 and C_h = $9. The demand exhibits some variability such that the lead-time demand follows a normal probability distribution with mu = 26 and sigma = 6. a. What is the recommended order quantity? Round your answer to the nearest whole number. b. What are the reorder point and safety stock if the firm desires at most a 5% probability of stock-out on any given order cycle? If required, round your answers to the nearest whole number. Record point = Safety stock = c. If a manager sets the reorder point at 32, what is the probability of a stock-out on any given order cycle? If required, round your answer to four decimal places. P(Stockout/cycle) = How many times would you expect a stock-out during the year if this reorder point were used? Round your answer to the nearest whole number. Number of Orders =

Explanation / Answer

CVP = Cost Volume Profit

Profit = Expense - Income

where Expenses includes over head costs and other costs

Safety Margin = Expected Sales – Break Even Point Sales

Safety Margin % = (Expected Sales – Break Even Point Sales) / Expected Sales

A.

Values given in the question:

D = Demand = 800 units per annum

Cost o = $24.50

Cost h = $9.00

Average = mean = Miu = 26

Sigma = SD = Standard Deviation = 6

ReOrder Point (ROP) = Recommended order quantity = Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) = Z * SD + Miu

Z Value 0.5 from the students table.

EOQ = 0.5 * 6 + 26 = 3 + 26 = 29

EOQ = 29

Hence Q* = Recommended order quantity = 29

B)

Reorder point (looks like a typo in the question as Record point) =  

The maximum out of stock condition can be less than or equal to 9%

Likely stock out can occur at:

annual demand 800

SD = 6

Hence Highest demand = 800+6 = 806, lowest demand = 800-6 = 794 (grossly approximated)

Reorder Qty = 29

Number of reorders required = (806/29 + 794/29 ) / 2

= ( 27.79 + 27.40 ) / 2 = 27.6

Hence Reorder Point = 27 or rounded to 28

Reorder point (looks like a typo in the question as Record point) =  

The maximum out of stock condition can be less than or equal to 9%



SS = Safety stock =  Maximum demand per day * highest lead time to replenish stock after reorder ) – ( Average daily demand or the mean * average lead time )

Daily demand = Annual demand / number of days per year = 800 / 365 = 2.2

Let the highest lead time be 26 days and average be 6 days

SS = 2.2 * 26 – (2.2 * 6) = 57.2 – 13.2 = 44

hence maintain a safety stock of 44 units at all times to avoid stock out or out of stock embarassement.

C)

old reorder point = 27 to 29; old probability of stock out = 7%

new reorder point = 32 new probability of stock out = 9% (as illustrated in the calculation below)

Rise in reorder point = 32– 27 = 5

Hence rise in lead time = 26 + 4 = 30 days (worst case), = 10 days average case

SS = 2.2 * 30 – (2.2 * 10) = 66 – 22 = 44 units => 9%

P(Stockout/cycle) =  9%

( = probability of stock out occurring )

D) How many times would you expect a stock-out during the year if this reorder point were used? Round your answer to the nearest whole number.

Number of Orders = 32

Number of expected stock outs at the rate of 9% = 365*9/100 = 3285/100

=32.85 =~ 33

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