Are the new quarters fair? Flip 5 different coins 50x times. Data : coin#1 CA 20
ID: 3310476 • Letter: A
Question
Are the new quarters fair? Flip 5 different coins 50x times.
Data :
coin#1 CA 2016 29 Heads 21 Tails
coin #2 VA 2015 27 Heads 23 Tails
coin #3 AL 2009 31 Heads 19 Tails
coin#4 NV 2000. 23 Heads 27 Tails
coin #5 OH 1999 28 heads 22 Tails
For each coin, perform a hypothesis test.
Which hypothesis test is appropriate?
Are the conditions met?
State your null and alternative hypotheses.
Calculate the test statistics and state number.
Using a significance level of a=0.05, decide whether to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.
What is your conclusion?
Explanation / Answer
The hypothesis test of the probability of getting heads is equal to 0.5 or not is appropriate since the probability of getting heads/tails = 0.5 implies that the coins are fair.
Null hypothesis -> H0 : p = 0.5
Alternative hypothesis -> H1 : p 0.5
COIN 1 :
> prop.test(29,50)
1-sample proportions test with continuity correction
data: 29 out of 50, null probability 0.5
X-squared = 0.98, df = 1, p-value = 0.3222
alternative hypothesis: true p is not equal to 0.5
95 percent confidence interval:
0.4326718 0.7151090
sample estimates:
p
0.58
Since p-value < 0.05, we reject H0 and conclude that the coin is significantly not fair.
COIN 2 :
> prop.test(27,50)
1-sample proportions test with continuity correction
data: 27 out of 50, null probability 0.5
X-squared = 0.18, df = 1, p-value = 0.6714
alternative hypothesis: true p is not equal to 0.5
95 percent confidence interval:
0.3945281 0.6793659
sample estimates:
p
0.54
Since p-value > 0.05, we accept H0 and conclude that the coin is significantly fair.
COIN 3:
> prop.test(31,50)
1-sample proportions test with continuity correction
data: 31 out of 50, null probability 0.5
X-squared = 2.42, df = 1, p-value = 0.1198
alternative hypothesis: true p is not equal to 0.5
95 percent confidence interval:
0.4716328 0.7500196
sample estimates:
p
0.62
Since p-value < 0.05, we reject H0 and conclude that the coin is significantly not fair.
COIN 4:
> prop.test(23,50)
1-sample proportions test with continuity correction
data: 23 out of 50, null probability 0.5
X-squared = 0.18, df = 1, p-value = 0.6714
alternative hypothesis: true p is not equal to 0.5
95 percent confidence interval:
0.3206341 0.6054719
sample estimates:
p
0.46
Since p-value > 0.05, we accept H0 and conclude that the coin is significantly fair.
COIN 5:
> prop.test(28,50)
1-sample proportions test with continuity correction
data: 28 out of 50, null probability 0.5
X-squared = 0.5, df = 1, p-value = 0.4795
alternative hypothesis: true p is not equal to 0.5
95 percent confidence interval:
0.4134993 0.6973395
sample estimates:
p
0.56
Since p-value < 0.05, we reject H0 and conclude that the coin is significantly not fair.
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