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A recent book noted that only 22% of investment managers outperform the standard

ID: 3313640 • Letter: A

Question

A recent book noted that only 22% of investment managers outperform the standard indexes, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the NASDAQ, over a five-year period. A sample of 400 investment managers who had graduated from one of the top 10 business programs in the country were followed over a five-year period. A total of 110 of these outperformed the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Let p represent the probability that a random investment manager who graduated from one of the top 10 business programs will outperform the Dow Jones over a five-year period. Reference: Ref 8-3 Based on the results of the sample, a 95% confidence interval for p is: We can assert that p = 0.22 with 100% confidence because only 22% of investment managers outperform the standard indexes. (0.238, 0.312). (0.217, 0.333). (0.231, 0.319).

Explanation / Answer

The statistical software output for this problem is:

One sample proportion summary confidence interval:
p : Proportion of successes
Method: Standard-Wald

95% confidence interval results:

Hence,

95% confidence interval will be:

(0.231, 0.319)

Proportion Count Total Sample Prop. Std. Err. L. Limit U. Limit p 110 400 0.275 0.022325714 0.2312424 0.3187576
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