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4. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has, for several years, studied the accura

ID: 3315132 • Letter: 4

Question

4. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has, for several years, studied the accuracy of price scanners used in many retail stores. Grocery stores were found, in general, to have a smaller incidence of scanner errors than non-grocery retail stores. The manager of a Richmond retailer (non-grocery) wishes to investigate scanner errors at his store. A random sample of 101 scanner transactions from last week’s purchases is obtained, and the average transaction error is + $4.32 with a standard deviation of $1.52. In other words, the customers making these 101 transactions were over charged, on average, by amount $4.32.

A.Use the sample data to calculate and interpret a 90%confidence interval for the mean transaction error in the population of scanner transactions that occurred at this store last week. (4+2=6 pts)

B. Determine the margin of error for the interval estimate in a, and explain what it represents about scanner errors. (2 pts)

Explanation / Answer

TRADITIONAL METHOD
given that,
sample mean, x =4.32
standard deviation, s =1.52
sample size, n =101
I.
stanadard error = sd/ sqrt(n)
where,
sd = standard deviation
n = sample size
standard error = ( 1.52/ sqrt ( 101) )
= 0.151
II.
margin of error = t /2 * (stanadard error)
where,
ta/2 = t-table value
level of significance, = 0.1
from standard normal table, two tailed value of |t /2| with n-1 = 100 d.f is 1.66
margin of error = 1.66 * 0.151
= 0.251
III.
CI = x ± margin of error
confidence interval = [ 4.32 ± 0.251 ]
= [ 4.069 , 4.571 ]
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DIRECT METHOD
given that,
sample mean, x =4.32
standard deviation, s =1.52
sample size, n =101
level of significance, = 0.1
from standard normal table, two tailed value of |t /2| with n-1 = 100 d.f is 1.66
we use CI = x ± t a/2 * (sd/ Sqrt(n))
where,
x = mean
sd = standard deviation
a = 1 - (confidence level/100)
ta/2 = t-table value
CI = confidence interval
confidence interval = [ 4.32 ± t a/2 ( 1.52/ Sqrt ( 101) ]
= [ 4.32-(1.66 * 0.151) , 4.32+(1.66 * 0.151) ]
= [ 4.069 , 4.571 ]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
interpretations:
1) we are 90% sure that the interval [ 4.069 , 4.571 ] contains the true population mean
2) If a large number of samples are collected, and a confidence interval is created
for each sample, 90% of these intervals will contains the true population mean

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