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Use the wine data in the Excel folder to estimate the parameters of the multiple

ID: 3324578 • Letter: U

Question

Use the wine data in the Excel folder to estimate the parameters of the multiple regression model: y=a+31x1 +32x2 + where y = deaths/ 100,000, = heart desease, and x, = liver disease. a. Report all estimates, including s2, the standard error of the regression. Test the hypotheses that i) 31 = 0 vs. 31 > 0, and ii) 32-0 vs. 32 > 0 at a = .05. Would your conclusion change for ii (liver) if the hypotheses were 32-0 vs. 32 0? c. Report R2, and interpret its value. Using your regression estimates, predict the death rate for a country with liver-6 and heart 2. d. Extra Credit: what is a 90% confidence interval for 31?

Explanation / Answer

Result:

a). s2 = 3431.2138

s=58.577

b). for

H0: 1 =0, H1: 1 >0

Calculated t=5.838, P=0.0000 which is < o.o5 level. 1 is significant.

( p value for upper tail test is half of the two tailed test given uin the output).

H0: 2 =0, H1: 2 >0

Calculated t= 2.403, P=.0273/2 =0.0136 ( one sided p value ) which is < o.o5 level. 2 is significant.

H0: 2 =0, H1: 2 0

Calculated t= 2.403, P=.0273   which is < o.o5 level. 2 is significant.

The result is same.

R square =0.669

66.9% of variance in deaths is explained by the regression model.

The regression line is death 517.5400+1.3229*heart+3.3303*liver

Predicted death when heart=2 and liver=6 is

=517.5400+1.3229*2+3.3303*6

=540.1676

90% CI for 1 is (0.9300, 1.7157).

Regression Analysis

0.669

Adjusted R²

0.632

n

21

R

0.818

k

2

Std. Error

58.577

Dep. Var.

death

ANOVA table

Source

SS

df

MS

F

p-value

Regression

124,555.1046

2  

62,277.5523

18.15

0.0000

Residual

61,761.8478

18  

3,431.2138

Total

186,316.9524

20  

Regression output

confidence interval

variables

coefficients

std. error

   t (df=18)

p-value

90% lower

90% upper

Intercept

517.5400

64.9769

7.965

0.0000

404.8658

630.2141

heart

1.3229

0.2266

5.838

0.0000

0.9300

1.7157

liver

3.3303

1.3861

2.403

.0273

0.9267

5.7339

Regression Analysis

0.669

Adjusted R²

0.632

n

21

R

0.818

k

2

Std. Error

58.577

Dep. Var.

death

ANOVA table

Source

SS

df

MS

F

p-value

Regression

124,555.1046

2  

62,277.5523

18.15

0.0000

Residual

61,761.8478

18  

3,431.2138

Total

186,316.9524

20  

Regression output

confidence interval

variables

coefficients

std. error

   t (df=18)

p-value

90% lower

90% upper

Intercept

517.5400

64.9769

7.965

0.0000

404.8658

630.2141

heart

1.3229

0.2266

5.838

0.0000

0.9300

1.7157

liver

3.3303

1.3861

2.403

.0273

0.9267

5.7339

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