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6. (1 Street, Brillantine Street, and Clancy Street. It is the beginning of rush

ID: 3325587 • Letter: 6

Question

6. (1 Street, Brillantine Street, and Clancy Street. It is the beginning of rush hour, and by experience Alabaster street will be closed by a car crash on average in 25 minutes, Brillantine street in 50 minutes, and Clancy Street in 40 minutes. Accident times are completely unpredictable. 0 pts.) There are 3 alternative routes by which you may drive to work: Alabaster If you leave for work in one hour (60 minutes), what is the probability that (at the moment you leave) a route to work will still be open?

Explanation / Answer

P(A) closed = 1 - e^(-60/25) = 0.909

P(B) closed = 1 - e^(-60/50) = 0.699

P(C) closed = 1 - e^(-60/40) = 0.777

P(at least one open) = 1 - P(all closed)

P = 1 - P(A) * P(B) * P(C)

P = 1 - 0.909 * 0.699 * 0.777

P = 0.506

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