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The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision a

ID: 3326523 • Letter: T

Question

The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand at Robert Klassan's print shop: Demand Decision Alternative 1 $12,000 $24,000 Alternative 2 $6,000 $38,000 Alternative 3 $2,000 $52,000 Low High The probability of low demand is 0.45, whereas the probability of high demand is 0.55 a) The Decision that provides Robert the greatest expected monetary value (EMV) is Alternative The EMV for this decision is $1) (enter your answer as a whole number). b) The expected value with perfect information EvwPI- enter your answer as a whole number c) The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for Robert-SL(enter your answer as a whole number). Enter your answer in each of the answer boxes

Explanation / Answer

a) EMV Calculation for each of the alternatives-

Alternative 1:(0.45*12000)+(0.55*24000)=18600

Alternative 2:(0.45*6000)+(0.55*38000)=23600

Alternative 3:(0.45*-2000)+(0.55*52000)=27700

Greatest EMV is provided by Alternative 3 and the value is 27700.

b) EVwPI= Probability of each outcome*Best payoff for that outcome= (0.45*12000)+(0.55*52000)=34000

c) EVPI=EVwPI-EMV=34000-27700=6300