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20. In the late 1980s, the pharmaceutical company Upjohn received approval from

ID: 3340800 • Letter: 2

Question

20. In the late 1980s, the pharmaceutical company Upjohn received approval from the Food and Drug Administration to market Rogaine'' a 2% minoxidil solution, for the treatment of androgenetic alopecia (male pattern hair loss). Upjohn's advertising campaign for Rogaine included the results of a double-blind randomized clinical trial, conducted with 1431 patients in 27 centers across the United States. The results of this study at the end of four months are summarized in the 2 × 5 contingency table below, where the two row categories represent the treatment arm and control arm respectively, and each column represents a response category the degree of hair growth reported. [Source: Ronald L. Iman, A Data-Based Approach to Statistics, Duxbury Press] Degree of Hair Growth Minimal ModerateDense Growth Growth Growth 58 29 87 ew Total Vellus 172 Rogaine Placebo Total Growth 301 423 724 178 114 292 322 (a) Conduct a Chi-squared Test of the null hypothesis Ho: TRogaine Tplacebo versus the alternative hypothesis HA·TRogane 1 bo across the five hair growth categories (That is, and NoGrowth | Rogaine No Growth | Placebo |Rogaine-New Vellus | Placebo and New Vellus e TDense Growth | Placebo) Infer whether or not we can reject the null and hypothesis at the -.01 significance level. Interpret in context: At the -.01 significance level, what exactly has been demonstrated about the efficacy of Rogaine versus placebo? (b) Form a 2 × 2 contingency table by combining the last four columns into a single column labeled Growth. Conduct a Chi-squared Test for the null hypothesis Ho: TRogaine- Tplacebo versus the alternative H,ogame binary response categories. (That is, Ho: Growth! Rogaine- .) Inter whether or not we can reject the null hypothesis at the = .01 significance level. Interpret in context At the = .01 significance level, what exactly has been demonstrated about the efficacy of 7Placebo between the resulting No Growth versus Growth Growth | Placebo ogaine versus placebo? (c) Calculate the p-value using a two-sample Z-test of the null hypothesis in part (b), and show that the square of the corresponding z-score is equal to the Chi-squared test statistic found in (b). Verify that the same conclusion about Ho is reached, at the = .01 significance level.

Explanation / Answer

PART A..

Given table data is as below

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calculation formula for E table matrix

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expected frequecies calculated by applying E - table matrix formulae

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calculate chisquare test statistic using given observed frequencies, calculated expected frequencies from above

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set up null vs alternative as

null, Ho: no relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are independent

alternative, H1: exists a relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are dependent

level of significance, = 0.01

from standard normal table, chi square value at right tailed, ^2 /2 =13.2767

since our test is right tailed,reject Ho when ^2 o > 13.2767

we use test statistic ^2 o = (Oi-Ei)^2/Ei

from the table , ^2 o = 48.4159

critical value

the value of |^2 | at los 0.01 with d.f (r-1)(c-1)= ( 2 -1 ) * ( 5 - 1 ) = 1 * 4 = 4 is 13.2767

we got | ^2| =48.4159 & | ^2 | =13.2767

make decision

hence value of | ^2 o | > | ^2 | and here we reject Ho

^2 p_value =0

ANSWERS

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null, Ho: no relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are independent

alternative, H1: exists a relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are dependent

test statistic: 48.4159

critical value: 13.2767

p-value:0

decision: reject Ho

PART B.

Given table data is as below

------------------------------------------------------------------

calculation formula for E table matrix

------------------------------------------------------------------

expected frequecies calculated by applying E - table matrix formulae

------------------------------------------------------------------

calculate chisquare test statistic using given observed frequencies, calculated expected frequencies from above

------------------------------------------------------------------

set up null vs alternative as

null, Ho: no relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are independent

alternative, H1: exists a relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are dependent

level of significance, = 0.01

from standard normal table, chi square value at right tailed, ^2 /2 =6.6349

since our test is right tailed,reject Ho when ^2 o > 6.6349

we use test statistic ^2 o = (Oi-Ei)^2/Ei

from the table , ^2 o = 40.5817

critical value

the value of |^2 | at los 0.01 with d.f (r-1)(c-1)= ( 2 -1 ) * ( 2 - 1 ) = 1 * 1 = 1 is 6.6349

we got | ^2| =40.5817 & | ^2 | =6.6349

make decision

hence value of | ^2 o | > | ^2 | and here we reject Ho

^2 p_value =0

ANSWERS

---------------

null, Ho: no relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are independent

alternative, H1: exists a relation b/w rogaine and placebo OR rogaine and placebo are dependent

test statistic: 40.5817

critical value: 6.6349

p-value:0

decision: reject Ho

MATRIX col1 col2 col3 col4 col5 TOTALS row 1 301 172 178 58 5 714 row 2 423 150 114 29 1 717 TOTALS 724 322 292 87 6 N = 1431