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Suppose a bank would like to develop a regression model to predict a person\'s c

ID: 3360596 • Letter: S

Question

Suppose a bank would like to develop a regression model to predict a person's credit score based on his or her age, weekly income, highest education level (high school, bachelor degree, graduate degree), and whether or not he or she owns or rents his or her primary residence. The accompanying table provides these data for a random sample of customers. Complete parts a through d below.

Credit Score

Income

Age

Education

Residence

($)

593

1,404

57

Bachelor

Own

705

1,697

64

Bachelor

Rent

660

800

44

High School

Own

639

682

42

Bachelor

Own

601

1,171

35

High School

Rent

590

1,579

38

Graduate

Rent

679

906

24

Graduate

Own

611

1,257

41

Bachelor

Own

750

1,092

35

Bachelor

Own

629

1,574

42

High School

Own

691

700

42

Bachelor

Own

571

522

40

Bachelor

Rent

699

1,206

34

Bachelor

Own

648

1,323

43

Bachelor

Own

812

1,378

53

Graduate

Own

599

1,272

50

High School

Rent

733

1,503

55

Bachelor

Own

707

1,806

52

High School

Own

694

1,163

51

Bachelor

Rent

737

1,305

40

Bachelor

Own

678

1,401

51

Bachelor

Rent

695

1,870

50

Bachelor

Own

578

800

34

High School

Own

677

1,119

33

Bachelor

Own

615

1,126

45

High Schoo

Rent

677

992

45

Bachelor

Rent

626

624

34

Bachelor

Rent

559

1,057

33

High School

Own

614

1,196

58

High School

Own

679

1,810

45

High School

Own

531

1,051

30

High School

Rent

631

1,367

38

High School

Own

620

1,855

35

Bachelor

Rent

644

1,090

50

Bachelor

Own

635

775

55

Bachelor

Own

660

905

43

Bachelor

Rent

781

1,416

59

Bachelor

Own

718

1,577

54

High School

Own

645

908

52

Bachelor

Rent

685

1,087

46

Graduate

Rent

a. Using technology, construct a regression model using all of the independent variables. (Let variable Ed1 be one of the dummy variables for the education level. Assign a 1 to a bachelor degree for this variable. Let Ed2 be another dummy variable for the education level. Assign a 1 to a graduate degree for this variable. Also, let variable Res be the dummy variable for the Residence variable. Assign a 1 if the person owns his or her primary residence.)Complete the regression equation for the model below, where

y=Credit Score,

x1=Income,

x2=Age,

x3=Ed1,

x4=Ed2, and

x5=Res.

ModifyingAbove y= ____ + (   )x1 + (   ) x2 + (   ) x3 + (   ) x4 + (    ) x5

(Round to two decimal places as needed.)

b. Interpret the meaning of each of the regression coefficients for the dummy variables.

c. A test for the significance of the overall regression model shows that it is significant using =0.05. Using the p-values, identify which independent variables are significant with =0.05.

d. Construct a regression model using only the significant variables found in part c and predict the average credit score for a 33-year-old person who earns 1,550 per month, has a bachelor

degree, and owns his or her residence.

Credit Score

Income

Age

Education

Residence

($)

593

1,404

57

Bachelor

Own

705

1,697

64

Bachelor

Rent

660

800

44

High School

Own

639

682

42

Bachelor

Own

601

1,171

35

High School

Rent

590

1,579

38

Graduate

Rent

679

906

24

Graduate

Own

611

1,257

41

Bachelor

Own

750

1,092

35

Bachelor

Own

629

1,574

42

High School

Own

691

700

42

Bachelor

Own

571

522

40

Bachelor

Rent

699

1,206

34

Bachelor

Own

648

1,323

43

Bachelor

Own

812

1,378

53

Graduate

Own

599

1,272

50

High School

Rent

733

1,503

55

Bachelor

Own

707

1,806

52

High School

Own

694

1,163

51

Bachelor

Rent

737

1,305

40

Bachelor

Own

678

1,401

51

Bachelor

Rent

695

1,870

50

Bachelor

Own

578

800

34

High School

Own

677

1,119

33

Bachelor

Own

615

1,126

45

High Schoo

Rent

677

992

45

Bachelor

Rent

626

624

34

Bachelor

Rent

559

1,057

33

High School

Own

614

1,196

58

High School

Own

679

1,810

45

High School

Own

531

1,051

30

High School

Rent

631

1,367

38

High School

Own

620

1,855

35

Bachelor

Rent

644

1,090

50

Bachelor

Own

635

775

55

Bachelor

Own

660

905

43

Bachelor

Rent

781

1,416

59

Bachelor

Own

718

1,577

54

High School

Own

645

908

52

Bachelor

Rent

685

1,087

46

Graduate

Rent

Explanation / Answer

Credit Score = 469 + 0.0349 Income + 1.91 Age + 47.6 Ed1 + 81.5 Ed2+ 41.0 Residence

Source              DF          SS          MS           F          P-Value

Regression             5          63909      12782     5.54     0.001

Residual Error      34         78503       2309

Total                    39         142412

The variable which shows significant value at 0.05 significant value are age, Ed1, Ed2 & Residence.

Predictor           Coef         SE.Coef      T .Test            P-Value

Constant           469.37       43.05         10.90            0.000

Income              0.03495    0.02409      1.45              0.156

Age                   1.9099       0.9284        2.06              0.047

Ed1                   47.60        17.24           2.76             0.009

Ed2                   81.49        27.74           2.94             0.006

Residence         41.03       15.90            2.58              0.014

Credit Score = 490 + 2.42 Age + 42.6 Ed1 + 82.0 Ed2 + 43.5 Residence excluding Income variable as it was not significant.

     Credit Score(1,550 )= 490 + 2.42 *(33) + 42.6 *(1) + 82.0 *(0) + 43.5*(1) = 655.96

  

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