Consider the 2016 presidential election. Many polls are conducted before, and du
ID: 3361180 • Letter: C
Question
Consider the 2016 presidential election. Many polls are conducted before, and during, election day. The poll results are reported along with a "margin of error." a. How does the margin of error relate to what you know about confidence intervals? b. Many people predicted a Clinton victory based on the poll results, even considering the margin of error. Read about the polls online. Given your understanding of the polls, margin of error, and confidence intervals, why do you think so many people made an incorrect prediction?Explanation / Answer
a)
In confidence interval ,Margin of error is equal to the Half of the WIdth of interval ,Value of Population parameter in confidence interval vary plus/minus margin of error
b)
Most of Peoples given wrong Prediction because they Predicted on the basis online polls with margin of error,for that peoples made confidence interval using Margin of error and sample values so every confidence interval has a fixed % chance to contain correct Parameter value for example a 95 % confidence interval contain true parameter 95% of times so people made some interval but true value goes out of that
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