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Q.3 an analyst is concerned with setting the rates of car insurance premiums for

ID: 3363792 • Letter: Q

Question

Q.3           an analyst is concerned with setting the rates of car insurance premiums for different counties in a particular state. The following model estimates various insurance rates based on a number of variables.

Y=Bo + b1x1+b2x2+b3x3+b4x4=e

Where

Y= insurance premiums for each county

X1= expenditures on road improvements

X2= number of DUI/DWI arrests in previous year

X3= number of uninsured motorists

X4 = number of car thefts/burglaries in previous year

                  e=error term

The following is the SPSS output for the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation

MODEL                                 Sum of Squares                                df                            Mean

Square                                  F                                              Sig.

Regression                         195.501

Residual                                              500.689

Total                                     696.190                 399

Coefficients

Model                                  B                             S.E.                         Beta                       t                              Sig.

Constant                              -.822                      1.136

X1                                           .123                        0.15                        .589

X2                                           -.116                      .034                        -.166

X3                                           .115                        .030                        .264

X4                                           .196                        .117                        .072

Question: write the null and alternative hypothesis for the F-test of overall significance of the model and compute F, test whether a significant relationship is present.

Explanation / Answer

Null Hypothesis : H0 : The relationship is not significant.

Alternative Hypothesis : H1 : The relationship is significant.

We will fill up the rest of the table.

The degree of freedom would be given by,

dfregression = n -1 = 4 - 1 = 3

dfresidual = dftotal - dfregression = 399 - 3 = 396

The mean squares would be given by,

MSregression = SSregression/dfregression = 195.501/3 = 65.167

MSresidual = SSresidual / dfresidual = 500.689/396 = 1.264

The F-statistic would be given by,

F = MSregression / MSresidual = 65.167/1.264 = 51.54

The corresponding P-value is 0.000

Since the p-value is very low, we will reject the null hypothesis. Hence the relationship is significant.

MODEL Sum of Squares df Mean squares F Sig. Regression 195.501 Residual 500.689 Total 696.190 399